TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,530,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,641,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,530,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under69c105,937$73,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,024.12774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c98,596$34,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,421.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under9c58,698$5,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,120.7644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Under9c37,324$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under9c30,565$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.8441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over73c30,400$22,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,328.261,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under8c25,893$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over55c25,758$14,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,597.5777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under69c24,783$17,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,137.0174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Under75c23,303$17,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,477.122860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under75c21,671$16,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,253.251,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Over40c21,505$8,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,978.451060%6 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Over26c18,625$4,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,782.2210234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over33c17,468$5,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,700.8327345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over26c15,555$4,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,510.714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7a…3183backed Under8c14,333$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.671010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Under27c13,195$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,562.652948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under9c12,814$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.7337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300f…b5e1backed Under74c12,040$8,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,909.563243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over55c11,873$6,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.0217747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over39c10,366$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,316.841,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Under9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under28c9,746$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72419329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over25c9,421$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,065.670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over73c8,992$6,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.9798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over53c8,375$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.5475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x872b…4a83backed Under62c8,065$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over26c7,692$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,692.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over59c7,482$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.8137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under9c7,334$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.0316116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under43c6,666$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.3831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over74c6,334$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.7223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Over73c5,252$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.043348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over72c5,247$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.3739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Under75c5,246$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.773751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under20c5,217$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.431,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30037944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.919037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Under75c4,800$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6002969%20 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under74c4,560$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.41,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over74c4,504$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.932,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Under75c3,980$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under62c3,942$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44412554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Over26c3,888$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.097533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over26c3,846$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.158648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over26c3,669$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.1938329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over71c3,562$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.942138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over25c3,541$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.832,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over71c3,504$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.264,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over35c3,420$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.9721738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c3,265$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.613,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Under9c3,222$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over75c3,203$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.9769826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over26c3,077$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.928530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30498.2%4 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+98.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2208858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over58c2,931$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.0319436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under29c2,887$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.312,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under30c2,772$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.011,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c2,603$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.72,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over26c2,564$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.4517748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x853c…d32cbacked Under42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9914737.4%55 W · 92 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under8c2,361$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over74c2,308$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60025339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over25c2,307$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.4614440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over74c2,160$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3723558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Under49c2,130$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under20c2,072$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8604856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Over25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under9c1,996$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.621,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe1…6889backed Under78c1,923$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50040%0 W · 4 L-2.9wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x88f1…b325backed Over26c1,923$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.08922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Under12c1,892$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1417735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Under30c1,888$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.48041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over73c1,878$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under59c1,829$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.741,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under74c1,800$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.989150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under42c1,791$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.074665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c1,747$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.071,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over64c1,746$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.8626841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under9c1,666$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Under61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005062%31 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7ec…64c8backed Under75c1,621$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2163537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under30c1,613$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.8736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6aa…4e0ebacked Under63c1,600$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under38c1,598$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Under61c1,592$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked Under29c1,575$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under16c1,550$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.58658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under75c1,410$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.519062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over25c1,392$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.5172722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9935719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b5…a041backed Over56c1,350$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.994045%18 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.