TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$906,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,126,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $906,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under13c98,500$12,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,8058932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc099…4a37backed Under14c65,237$9,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,133.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under14c35,350$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.162,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under13c34,615$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under14c26,717$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under7c21,025$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.742,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under13c18,668$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.81,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under3c15,765$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.3214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under13c15,380$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under8c15,095$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.0130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under13c12,551$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.6319037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under7c11,071$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.1535719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7115929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under4c10,000$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under13c9,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.989150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under13c8,316$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.281,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under3c6,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under2c5,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11066846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under13c4,680$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.5297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under13c3,860$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.81,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under14c3,150$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under13c3,114$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under13c3,000$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.963,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under3c2,983$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3731156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under3c2,887$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under5c2,660$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under13c2,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.843,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154e…e931backed Under14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf502…4382backed Under14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x685c…b626backed Under1c2,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267815.4%12 W · 66 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under13c1,965$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.43,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under14c1,905$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6717748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Under14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under13c1,696$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.63,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Under3c1,502$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.12785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under13c1,472$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.382,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed Under3c1,245$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.045512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under4c1,227$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under4c1,211$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Under3c1,121$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under14c1,052$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under13c1,025$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.311,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Under3c1,002$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.834916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Under3c960.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1419.8%4 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Under14c849.43$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9235614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under5c802.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7958942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10422835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…a9c7backed Under14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+59.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under14c785.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57b…cf42backed Under14c715$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1ca…815abacked Under14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under14c642.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Under4c630.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.213863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under3c593.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Under4c582.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.643813.2%5 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under5c579.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.630137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…58e4backed Under14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Under14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under13c499.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6629813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under3c420$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610148.5%49 W · 52 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under4c413.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9716925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under4c375.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under15c358.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5626841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…404cbacked Under14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under13c355$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Under14c341.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under14c328.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1915144.4%67 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Under14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Under13c299.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under14c274.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.441,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Under13c263.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321046.2%97 W · 113 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under10c245$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under14c238.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4538329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc456…bdedbacked Under14c169.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under7c151.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24829.2%14 W · 34 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-56.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under13c140$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.672,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228d…a448backed Under14c138.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.383511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4346…6b10backed Under14c132.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212a…5f5dbacked Under14c118.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+155.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under14c108.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.671,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Under14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Under13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd34…e620backed Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x846a…9a72backed Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x058a…7fdbbacked Under14c81.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.