TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof England, France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$442,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$452,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6754…e3bcbacked France75c221,000$165,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,479.4915456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked England25c199,125$49,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,964.2421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed England25c113,086$28,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,207.4315843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed France80c52,437$41,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,569.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked France75c38,700$29,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,664.617447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked England25c17,694$4,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,412.4358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked France75c15,050$11,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,777.694057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed France75c14,190$10,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.123857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dee…8ad7backed England23c13,728$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2001136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed France79c11,288$8,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ce…df44backed France75c9,890$7,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.86862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France77c9,216$7,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.91,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed England25c5,976$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid+12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed France75c4,698$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.2710251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked France75c4,300$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.32650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked France75c4,236$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.777865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked France76c3,300$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.994566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed England23c2,999$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.8987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed England23c2,664$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.011,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3a…0150backed France76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked England22c2,541$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.791,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England23c2,439$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.692,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked England23c2,419$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked England24c2,382$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.231,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344c…a1aebacked England25c2,245$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.44131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed England1c2,202$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed France76c1,819$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed England24c1,500$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.582416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed England1c1,401$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8727227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed England4c967.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.59785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed England24c919.98$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.413145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf14d…e516backed England8c842.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75b…772cbacked England28c804.72$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed England26c787.01$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.02896.7%6 W · 83 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed England12c766.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked England22c764.49$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.925643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed France75c599.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England11c572.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed England7c547.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0938329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed England25c500$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.55341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed France75c434.51$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.311,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked England17c433.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.572,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ba…53e4backed England24c423.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011231.3%35 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb1…3c7abacked England23c383.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.232222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd19…e070backed England8c378.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked England9c297.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6866932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…9692backed France75c294.36$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.032040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed England15c287.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed France76c283.93$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…d00ebacked France77c261.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed England17c258.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0526459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked England23c257$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3713554.8%74 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed England18c254.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.161,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed France76c215.77$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af6…fb07backed England24c211.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed England17c208.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8825328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed England26c202.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5618436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed England24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7891…8bfbbacked England26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b71…24dbbacked England25c160.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked England23c148$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0369826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked England14c139$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1815252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed England19c124.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.755512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed England26c113.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed England15c109.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.794916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed England15c109.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.79419.8%4 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed France75c106.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8133345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed England24c105.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2740239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fc…5ec3backed England26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3960…0975backed England24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef8…21e5backed England25c98.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaa…9068backed England25c80.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020851.9%108 W · 100 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ecd…5512backed England25c79.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick43cpaid-85.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed France77c75.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6463255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bba…161abacked France76c68.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.212766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked France75c68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.987856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3c…31cfbacked England24c59.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9344…8fdabacked England26c57.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed France78c55.09$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed France75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.337856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked France77c52.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0920049%98 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed England25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55119.6%10 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27ef…81babacked France75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.39466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7434…eeacbacked England25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59629.2%28 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd94a…ea96backed England25c47.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8210429.8%31 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fda…1407backed England23c47.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4475…b483backed France75c40.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed France75c21.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2724759.1%146 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.