TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5522…c807

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$585.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$33.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.23
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$372.6
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.5
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,194.99
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$108.3
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.98
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,392.91
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5.48
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.06
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$11.4
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$8.6
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$1,001.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,291.33
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$18.4
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$106.33
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$6.37
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.7
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$13.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$141
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$218.31
Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$15.63
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.69
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$11.32
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+55%+$14.2
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$9.2
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$7.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$15.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$13.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,638Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$412
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.59
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.79
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$9.1
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,958Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,360.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$24.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of July 13 above $205?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.