TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.9917553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over38c14,276$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,424.9656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under40c8,308$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.8429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under40c7,456$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,473.7328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over36c6,078$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.91,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under36c5,909$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.92,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under43c4,093$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.811,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…37aebacked Over64c4,040$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3504…4ba8backed Over56c2,772$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x776f…35cdbacked Under44c2,704$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72df…f8eabacked Over56c2,300$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c2,259$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.0355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc37…0fb0backed Under44c2,187$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under40c2,080$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.22,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under40c2,065$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,994$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.461,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under42c1,964$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.2265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c1,814$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.8284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c1,726$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.3669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Under50c1,595$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.265540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over60c1,523$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.6744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,510$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under50c1,417$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over59c1,278$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c1,214$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.971,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Under42c1,206$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.912254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under44c1,064$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.954057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c1,000$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6a…1a8fbacked Over59c947.97$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55930%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under40c877.8$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.041,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under44c800$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45111437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over56c778.13$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.7527246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under34c727.08$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under37c701.01$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.661,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Over41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under30c600$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41820353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc246…563cbacked Under44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.38per pick45cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c598.38$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over58c587.44$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.721,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over63c585.56$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…232abacked Over60c550$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under38c524.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4726839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under45c510.9$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0146959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Over59c505.78$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.412860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9918844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over62c494.94$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.742,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c440.53$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.51,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under35c435$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under40c429.17$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over55c399.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.997146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c348.41$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb41…8536backed Over60c331.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under36c316.1$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.936051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under37c306.58$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over59c305.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0325…01bcbacked Over65c277.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.942661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under43c273.57$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.463,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over53c254$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Under36c251.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.943554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd053…114cbacked Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under44c222.73$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.739653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2f…f3f6backed Under46c217.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under35c212.46$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.118557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over57c205.26$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11712254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over66c197.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.241,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under40c191.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1416048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over57c190$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.530348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Over36c184.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3314153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Over39c178$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.425841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b6…ef54backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under44c170.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over57c162.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3423741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over49c162.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Over62c162.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad76…93febacked Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over68c144.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.133855.3%21 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over75c140$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.758149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under37c137.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5625958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Over54c136.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4435532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Under41c133.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6713036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over61c132$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad43…1a69backed Under45c129.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.117727.3%21 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under37c125.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6255751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under40c123.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.