NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658273bf238b34847aa93d05298893c75f248d6371bdfb023d84d4516ce6e75b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.99 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 38c | 14,276$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424.96 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 40c | 8,308$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.84 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 40c | 7,456$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.73 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 36c | 6,078$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.9 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 36c | 5,909$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 43c | 4,093$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.81 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…37aebacked Over | 64c | 4,040$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…4ba8backed Over | 56c | 2,772$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…35cdbacked Under | 44c | 2,704$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…f8eabacked Over | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 2,259$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.03 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…0fb0backed Under | 44c | 2,187$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 2,080$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 40c | 2,065$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 1,994$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.46 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 42c | 1,964$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.22 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 1,814$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.82 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 1,726$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.36 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Under | 50c | 1,595$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.26 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 60c | 1,523$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.67 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,510$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 50c | 1,417$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.3 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 59c | 1,278$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,214$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.97 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Under | 42c | 1,206$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 44c | 1,064$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.95 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,000$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…1a8fbacked Over | 59c | 947.97$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 40c | 877.8$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.04 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 44c | 800$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 56c | 778.13$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.75 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 34c | 727.08$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.03 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 37c | 701.01$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 30c | 600$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…563cbacked Under | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.38per pick | 45cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 598.38$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.6 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 58c | 587.44$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.72 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 585.56$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Over | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…bf84backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 38c | 524.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.47 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 45c | 510.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.01 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…9fdebacked Over | 59c | 505.78$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 62c | 494.94$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.74 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 440.53$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 35c | 435$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.75 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 40c | 429.17$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 53c | 348.41$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…8536backed Over | 60c | 331.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 36c | 316.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 37c | 306.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Over | 59c | 305.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 65c | 277.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 43c | 273.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 53c | 254$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Under | 36c | 251.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…114cbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 44c | 222.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…f3f6backed Under | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 35c | 212.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 57c | 205.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 66c | 197.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 40c | 191.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 57c | 190$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 36c | 184.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Over | 39c | 178$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…ef54backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 44c | 170.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 57c | 162.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 162.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Over | 62c | 162.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…93febacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 68c | 144.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Over | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 37c | 137.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Over | 54c | 136.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 41c | 133.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 61c | 132$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Under | 45c | 129.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 37c | 125.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 40c | 123.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.