NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42a59ca429fe2443d63fc1cce30ace6a1273bb0679b4070918e1a331e05431fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 22c | 22,209$4,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.82 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Cavaliers | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons | 77c | 13,426$10,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.61 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Pistons | 77c | 2,682$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.78 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Pistons | 77c | 2,647$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.78 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Pistons | 77c | 1,059$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.51 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons | 77c | 738.45$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.84 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 55c | 718.87$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.46 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Pistons | 78c | 445.19$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Cavaliers | 45c | 444.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Pistons | 77c | 376.41$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Pistons | 59c | 283.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Pistons | 59c | 251.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 248.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Pistons | 78c | 225.36$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Cavaliers | 5c | 222.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Pistons | 61c | 218.83$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Pistons | 77c | 207.36$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Cavaliers | 43c | 194.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…3a43backed Cavaliers | 7c | 162.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 125.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Cavaliers | 51c | 118.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 113.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Cavaliers | 43c | 98.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 56c | 97.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Pistons | 57c | 93.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pistons | 49c | 90.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…c7a7backed Cavaliers | 44c | 78.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Pistons | 79c | 64.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pistons | 56c | 62.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Pistons | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Pistons | 77c | 48.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Pistons | 57c | 48.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…666abacked Cavaliers | 44c | 45.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cavaliers | 42c | 44.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Pistons | 49c | 43.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cavaliers | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 279 | 42.7%119 W · 160 L | -14.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…1025backed Pistons | 50c | 29.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Pistons | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Pistons | 58c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Pistons | 58c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Pistons | 60c | 18.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pistons | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.