TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Under49c80,723$39,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,473.5837627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c46,666$24,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,133.221,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,30034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c9,896$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7502,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c7,562$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.861,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c5,864$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.6769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under50c4,510$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.823557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c3,893$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under48c3,340$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.84362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c3,095$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.6264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over51c2,468$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Under50c2,062$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed Under48c2,022$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.522857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c1,961$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.8632846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60027246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under51c1,155$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.976261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c1,079$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.081,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over48c1,015$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4876233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51011452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c999.96$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under50c990$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4957150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over48c740.74$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c699.5$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over52c632.96$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3826839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over49c605.77$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8318557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over52c568.9$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8325150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over51c555.55$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8746959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over52c531.01$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over51c496.31$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.1261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over48c490.02$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Under52c470$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c458.65$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Under50c447.48$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.743735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under42c436.57$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2116147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c420.23$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c394.04$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Under50c388.74$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.379159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over52c379.44$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Under53c372$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.842650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under57c370.25$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.584057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked Under51c349.97$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.491250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under45c330$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.761,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Over50c308.47$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.243243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c307.91$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Over50c300$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14711239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.029558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c267.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.991,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over49c243.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.328354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Over50c238.57$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.292646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over21c238.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd68b…c39cbacked Over51c222.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c216$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Under49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over52c191.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3525958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over51c186.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.041,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Over48c181.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.274544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c177$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.52,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c175.32$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.923,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7517551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over52c134.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under26c133.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Under52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.929260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Under46c112.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under45c111.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9829040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Under50c101.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.963132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…d4cebacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.995343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0424955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e6…f893backed Over51c96.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Under40c94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.712846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under50c93.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8521849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0211232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over51c92.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3520154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb1fc…bcfdbacked Over51c88.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c86.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.241,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Under46c84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under50c72.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over54c68.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5514359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Over52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Over42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.036524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.