NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bfff05ee828ce5a5f882c6237b23f4fdc6a30bd4a37d4ea95166e085dbe6299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 49c | 80,723$39,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,473.58 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 46,666$24,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,133.22 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 9,896$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 7,562$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.86 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 5,864$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.67 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Under | 50c | 4,510$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 3,893$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 48c | 3,340$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.8 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 3,095$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.62 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 51c | 2,468$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.2 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Under | 50c | 2,062$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Under | 48c | 2,022$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 1,961$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.86 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 51c | 1,155$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.97 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 1,079$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.08 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 48c | 740.74$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 699.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 52c | 632.96$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 49c | 605.77$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 52c | 568.9$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 51c | 555.55$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.87 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 52c | 531.01$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.25 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 51c | 496.31$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.12 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 48c | 490.02$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Under | 52c | 470$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 458.65$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Under | 50c | 447.48$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 42c | 436.57$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.21 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 420.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 394.04$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Under | 50c | 388.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 52c | 379.44$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…9ca2backed Under | 53c | 372$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 57c | 370.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Under | 51c | 349.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 45c | 330$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 50c | 308.47$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 307.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Over | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 267.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 49c | 243.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…f88ebacked Over | 50c | 238.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 21c | 238.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…c39cbacked Over | 51c | 222.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 216$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed Under | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 52c | 191.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 186.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 48c | 181.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 175.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Over | 52c | 134.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 26c | 133.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Under | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Under | 46c | 112.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 45c | 111.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…2133backed Under | 50c | 101.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…d4cebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 40c | 94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 50c | 93.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 51c | 92.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…bcfdbacked Over | 51c | 88.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 86.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Under | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 50c | 72.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 54c | 68.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.