NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x885240ee59adad2b433acec9f053d053737670f46ba8b0cae7fc78ba8d6171af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Cavaliers | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Pistons | 52c | 33,782$17,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,215.31 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 20c | 29,490$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.25 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Cavaliers | 46c | 19,358$8,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,904.9 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 17,680$8,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,247.7 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 53c | 17,496$9,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,222.93 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 48c | 15,244$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.11 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 53c | 14,844$7,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,963.23 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Pistons | 54c | 14,141$7,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.86 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons | 54c | 13,007$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.44 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Cavaliers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Cavaliers | 46c | 9,200$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.14 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Pistons | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 53c | 5,043$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 4,775$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.64 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pistons | 53c | 3,717$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.98 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Pistons | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Pistons | 53c | 2,984$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.68 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons | 55c | 2,918$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.15 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Pistons | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.89 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,830$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,736$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,659$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.72 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 2,599$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.33 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pistons | 53c | 2,505$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.57 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Pistons | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.97 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 54c | 2,292$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Pistons | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 37c | 2,145$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…0b5ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Pistons | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,767$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.32 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.95 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,443$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.26 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Pistons | 54c | 1,285$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.51 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Pistons | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Pistons | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0ea8backed Pistons | 54c | 1,123$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Pistons | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Pistons | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Pistons | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Pistons | 54c | 910.28$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.73 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Pistons | 54c | 876.31$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.1 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 53c | 875.18$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pistons | 54c | 873.85$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.12 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 831.85$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Pistons | 53c | 754$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.38 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Pistons | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cavaliers | 48c | 636.81$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 606.24$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.23 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Pistons | 52c | 592.95$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pistons | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 545.06$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.32 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Pistons | 64c | 524.94$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Cavaliers | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Pistons | 53c | 469.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.89 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Cavaliers | 48c | 464.58$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…8475backed Cavaliers | 48c | 430.58$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Pistons | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pistons | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Pistons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers | 46c | 364.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Pistons | 53c | 303.26$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Pistons | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Pistons | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Pistons | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Pistons | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 30c | 238.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Pistons | 55c | 229.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 228.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 46c | 226.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Pistons | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…cf44backed Cavaliers | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Cavaliers | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…c387backed Cavaliers | 46c | 217.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…6577backed Cavaliers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pistons | 70c | 202.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Pistons | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Pistons | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Pistons | 52c | 197.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Pistons | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Pistons | 55c | 179.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Pistons | 64c | 156.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Pistons | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 53c | 156.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Pistons | 54c | 155.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…f0b6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 154.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Pistons | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pistons | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Pistons | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cavaliers | 27c | 145.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.