TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over57c19,321$10,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,969.5734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under43c17,500$7,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,974.9935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c15,564$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,248.921,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over53c12,688$6,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,724.6845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over55c10,650$5,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,857.56045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c6,940$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,130.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under45c6,846$3,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,752.1664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over57c5,789$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over55c5,652$3,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.3326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under44c4,350$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,43628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under43c3,864$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.7229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c3,505$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.6355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c3,367$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over56c3,357$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c2,979$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over43c2,617$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.7930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under46c2,459$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.2744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c2,042$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.4232846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02017052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under66c1,929$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.621,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c1,860$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.492,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02627246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Over54c1,381$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over59c1,348$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.391,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under45c1,334$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.41,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,169$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c1,123$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.651,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over62c962.83$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.1489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under42c927.76$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.0736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c859.06$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.3593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c843.56$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.5666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under45c769.43$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under42c737.51$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.761,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over54c713.49$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over56c709.83$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.721,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over57c618.79$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Over68c589.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under39c588.7$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1146959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under45c588.32$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c531.51$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.961,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c510.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under42c501.76$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under43c484.03$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.041,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under45c445$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.757751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c423.54$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.73,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under45c420.31$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2207452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c393.21$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over56c382.96$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…4ba8backed Over53c364.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over61c324.2$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7125150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under38c303.58$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over60c269.28$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.671,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c250$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Under41c242.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.953554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c242.17$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under43c227.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7925958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under45c224.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7110941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c217$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10612047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6b…6b56backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over57c193.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.116048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over54c192.72$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.078850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be3…5c4bbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c171.96$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.31,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under42c168.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4420353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over53c155$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.157451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Under31c145.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.013013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over69c145.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under32c126.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Under39c115.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.224544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under47c114.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.899653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Over61c113.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.793644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under31c112.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.266524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over56c107.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6923741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under44c107.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4747349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under38c107$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over64c106.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6331345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…8807backed Under47c105.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under49c101.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Under39c101.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6310046%46 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under45c100.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5525651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5062347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over50c96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506657.6%38 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over47c91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c03…7f23backed Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c89.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.651,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over62c80.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under45c74.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6266143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked Over56c68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.922520%5 W · 20 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Under40c62.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3210761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.