NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb06621d42988b38fdaa23004ed2f62f7a4cb554b9b48209ab174b272ff2673a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $768,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $820,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,500 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Cavaliers | 51c | 125,501$64,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,005.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 97,460$48,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,729.78 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cavaliers | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 84,773$41,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,538.56 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…96a4backed Pistons | 50c | 71,648$35,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,824 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons | 50c | 44,049$21,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,229.49 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pistons | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 48c | 39,905$19,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,687.69 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Cavaliers | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Cavaliers | 50c | 29,619$14,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,809.5 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 29,143$15,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,019.27 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 48c | 28,378$13,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,738.93 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 50c | 24,037$11,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,124.73 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 18,697$9,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,498.48 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Pistons | 51c | 17,647$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,647.06 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…bad3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 14,874$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 51c | 14,195$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,955.48 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 58c | 10,546$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 10,500$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers | 50c | 10,106$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.02 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons | 49c | 9,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 43c | 8,088$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.02 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Pistons | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons | 57c | 7,551$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.07 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 51c | 7,452$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.61 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pistons | 51c | 7,048$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.62 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Pistons | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 5,841$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.25 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Pistons | 50c | 5,221$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Pistons | 51c | 5,098$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.04 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 4,873$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,514$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,648$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.55 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 39c | 3,336$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,171$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.16 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pistons | 50c | 3,021$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.5 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…b044backed Pistons | 49c | 2,868$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,800$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.2 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers | 26c | 2,742$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.26 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Pistons | 75c | 2,675$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.92 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Pistons | 50c | 2,623$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Pistons | 49c | 2,490$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Pistons | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Pistons | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Pistons | 51c | 1,811$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,518$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,443$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,404$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…ff02backed Pistons | 49c | 1,293$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,292$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.16 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 1,224$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.41 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pistons | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.74 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Pistons | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons | 68c | 1,110$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.32 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Pistons | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,067$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.86 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Pistons | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Cavaliers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Pistons | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Pistons | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 51c | 975.08$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.29 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Pistons | 50c | 969.75$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.47 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Pistons | 49c | 967.35$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.35 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pistons | 49c | 899.95$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.98 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Pistons | 51c | 866.76$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.71 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Pistons | 51c | 853.35$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.14 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Cavaliers | 24c | 833.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Pistons | 51c | 823.53$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.53 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Pistons | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 814.67$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Pistons | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 791$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.32 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 746.15$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 49c | 735.29$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Cavaliers | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pistons | 57c | 597.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 595.74$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers | 50c | 585$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…7af1backed Pistons | 51c | 574.64$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 543.72$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.