TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons50c3,584$1,782 inWon+$1,802.2232846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers41c3,555$1,441 inLost-$1,440.9569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Pistons60c1,667$1,000 inWon+$666.6743269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pistons61c1,470$893 inWon+$577.2930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers50c600$300 inLost-$3002,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers50c437.84$221 inLost-$220.6855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Cavaliers49c408.16$200 inLost-$20059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Cavaliers45c400$178 inLost-$1785040%20 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cavaliers59c367.83$217 inLost-$217.042,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cavaliers50c327.88$164 inLost-$163.941,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Cavaliers39c299.95$117 inLost-$116.9811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Cavaliers42c266.43$112 inLost-$111.7318536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Cavaliers43c262.02$113 inLost-$112.6218345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Cavaliers43c234.01$100 inLost-$1006839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…0d90backed Cavaliers50c200$99 inLost-$99.228645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pistons61c177$108 inWon+$69.032,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons41c167$68 inWon+$98.531,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Pistons61c122.95$75 inWon+$47.952365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Cavaliers40c104.32$42 inLost-$41.7318844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Pistons60c100$60 inWon+$4028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Cavaliers50c100$50 inLost-$509949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Cavaliers50c100$50 inLost-$5029665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Cavaliers50c100$50 inLost-$509748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons52c71.99$38 inWon+$34.2989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Pistons47c65.7$31 inWon+$34.8255751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Cavaliers50c50$25 inLost-$2518242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc683…7483backed Cavaliers50c39.64$20 inLost-$202638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Cavaliers53c37.74$20 inLost-$2040541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72d…e6fabacked Pistons60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.333946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Pistons61c29.27$18 inWon+$11.4224332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6068…3342backed Pistons47c23.4$11 inWon+$12.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Cavaliers49c23$11 inLost-$11.2747349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Cavaliers50c20$10 inLost-$10825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.