NBA · resolved market
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08646268b1481bc16f0db16f6990751831f3e8ef5ba85ac6d9f52fd7f8ebe908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…b9debacked No | 54c | 739.76$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 51c | 690.4$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.16 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 51c | 647.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 45c | 478.81$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 54c | 465.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 51c | 314.76$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 45c | 250.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 55c | 245.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 47c | 201.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Yes | 51c | 191.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Yes | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 50c | 92.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked No | 55c | 90.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 50c | 82.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 46c | 49.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4194…19dfbacked No | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed No | 52c | 28.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…0199backed Yes | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…584cbacked Yes | 53c | 25.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.