TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,916 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b55…1ab9backed Yes51c3,062$1,553 inLost-$1,553.411145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No46c1,794$819 inWon+$974.7579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed No66c1,218$800 inWon+$417.8212649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Yes34c1,000$340 inLost-$3406147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No52c500$260 inWon+$24013751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No58c444$258 inWon+$186.4822656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No59c249.98$147 inWon+$102.4956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Yes41c204$84 inLost-$83.547237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No56c99.73$56 inWon+$43.7923741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70c1…6701backed Yes35c70.32$25 inLost-$24.592934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No56c70$39 inWon+$30.843752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Yes44c65$29 inLost-$28.63132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes37c40.15$15 inLost-$14.7153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed No50c39.91$20 inWon+$19.95058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No54c36.98$20 inWon+$17.0662047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed Yes40c36.98$15 inLost-$14.925251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No57c33.8$19 inWon+$14.4421056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes41c31.43$13 inLost-$136547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No57c26.74$15 inWon+$11.426957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No59c20$12 inWon+$8.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No61c20$12 inWon+$7.933356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.