TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b55…1ab9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT7335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.15
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$862.81
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+286.7%+$1,025.5
Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$279.17
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.51
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.41
Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoebacked Eliot Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.46
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$119.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.71
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$321.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$121.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.56
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.35
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickersonbacked Ryan Dickerson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$982.1
Santos: Valerio Aboian vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.14
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullinbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$362
Aix en Provence: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.14
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.94
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.43
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,553.41
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.99
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$875.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,755.44
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,323.68
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$2,897.45
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,299.41
1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.78
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.2
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$89.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+157.6%+$284.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$797
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.