Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d43ab1a34282ad7b3e9696ae7e844eba804772443361f8804d528d019e143fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Olimpia Milano | 28c | 2,224$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.43 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 28c | 2,048$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.75 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Valencia | 77c | 1,723$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.51 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Olimpia Milano | 19c | 1,608$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Valencia | 75c | 994.81$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Olimpia Milano | 25c | 840.02$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…1ab9backed Valencia | 39c | 464.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Valencia | 71c | 415.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Olimpia Milano | 25c | 397.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano | 52c | 335.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Valencia | 78c | 279.32$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Valencia | 49c | 245.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Valencia | 75c | 245.35$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Valencia | 54c | 243.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Valencia | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Valencia | 80c | 219.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Olimpia Milano | 25c | 188.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed Valencia | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Valencia | 42c | 166.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Olimpia Milano | 7c | 163.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Valencia | 75c | 131.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia | 26c | 119.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Valencia | 74c | 118.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Valencia | 75c | 107.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Valencia | 52c | 103.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Valencia | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Olimpia Milano | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Olimpia Milano | 28c | 84.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Olimpia Milano | 41c | 82.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Olimpia Milano | 21c | 80.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Olimpia Milano | 57c | 76.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Valencia | 74c | 74.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olimpia Milano | 26c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olimpia Milano | 27c | 73.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Olimpia Milano | 26c | 68.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Olimpia Milano | 26c | 62.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Valencia | 72c | 61.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Valencia | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…8bb4backed Valencia | 47c | 59.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Valencia | 49c | 55.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…0650backed Olimpia Milano | 27c | 52.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Olimpia Milano | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Valencia | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Olimpia Milano | 39c | 35.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Valencia | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…2523backed Valencia | 75c | 32.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 28.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Valencia | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…54b9backed Valencia | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Valencia | 57c | 26.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Olimpia Milano | 68c | 25.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Valencia | 72c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.