TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$889,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$962,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics47c314,162$147,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166,505.6272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed 76ers53c313,229$166,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,011.5587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics47c104,206$48,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,228.9887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers52c79,314$41,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,240.211,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Celtics48c62,972$30,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,745.448452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Celtics48c50,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.988038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked 76ers52c44,283$23,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,027.0214842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Celtics48c39,973$19,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,785.8816547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Celtics48c31,239$14,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,244.4710949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers39c29,393$11,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,531.7160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers51c28,921$14,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,749.7166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers53c27,233$14,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,433.511,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics49c22,861$11,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,655.071,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics64c20,702$13,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,356.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked 76ers52c18,307$9,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,592.1232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 76ers52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.7974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed 76ers52c12,992$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.8210747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers51c12,105$6,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,217.3863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed 76ers10c9,992$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers46c9,983$4,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,62849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers53c8,710$4,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.1571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers52c8,342$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.7990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics48c5,813$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.6643348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Celtics67c5,771$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.6311864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics57c5,319$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Celtics76c4,580$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.641,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Celtics64c4,552$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.2943269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked 76ers53c4,030$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.8620946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…76babacked 76ers52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers44c3,415$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.931,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics62c2,853$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.073,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics64c2,600$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics47c2,575$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 76ers40c2,469$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.31,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked 76ers39c2,258$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.0817055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked 76ers53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed 76ers53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.84639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Celtics79c1,794$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.918839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers52c1,786$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Celtics58c1,637$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.391,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics62c1,538$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.163,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Celtics49c1,489$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.3759140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed 76ers39c1,476$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9227455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers53c1,341$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.7770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked 76ers40c1,286$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0113563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Celtics61c1,270$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1473649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked 76ers18c1,227$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.749542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers52c1,224$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x335d…ce5fbacked 76ers53c1,118$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3110838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ace…581ebacked 76ers39c1,024$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Celtics78c1,016$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.496341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Celtics48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.775354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers52c1,005$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Celtics49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.485945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Celtics48c974.61$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked 76ers52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0248054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed 76ers53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.914854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c0…01f3backed 76ers50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Celtics48c845.94$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.8912240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Celtics52c743.13$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed 76ers53c733.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7241753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4964…4e66backed 76ers53c716.58$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.792231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-47.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Celtics48c706.42$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3411651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Celtics48c699.98$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics57c690.6$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.041,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics62c673.86$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.691,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics70c670.4$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.971,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed 76ers53c648.72$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8232347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Celtics58c606.82$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8618743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Celtics48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8618643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics52c605.09$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers52c604.51$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.351,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers51c542.19$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.521,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee3…45c2backed 76ers52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Celtics49c494.33$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.111957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad0…31e6backed Celtics48c491.18$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.411435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Celtics67c490.1$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9122349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Celtics54c451.2$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Celtics48c403.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Celtics48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed 76ers40c402.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked 76ers52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0120650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed 76ers38c353.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5415650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked 76ers4c347.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked 76ers53c344.71$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.713644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked 76ers53c340.61$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.529651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Celtics79c327.77$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5340041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Celtics60c326.96$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed 76ers53c321.73$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.927856.4%44 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8836248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Celtics55c313.33$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7726336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b55…1ab9backed Celtics72c313.26$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.091145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Celtics60c309.81$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.123445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Celtics48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked 76ers40c295.34$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1431953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed 76ers53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5290957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed 76ers52c290$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 76ers5c287$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.