TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,409 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers47c2,999$1,420 inLost-$1,419.671,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Celtics53c1,927$1,022 inWon+$905.076261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Celtics52c1,150$598 inWon+$552.0416147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics52c433.45$225 inWon+$208.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics51c354.69$181 inWon+$173.81,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Celtics55c353.82$195 inWon+$159.225848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Celtics55c176.91$97 inWon+$79.6113153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers48c155.35$75 inLost-$74.5756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked 76ers49c113.5$56 inLost-$55.614037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed 76ers53c98.61$52 inLost-$52.2541227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Celtics50c84.06$42 inWon+$42.2187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked 76ers29c61.65$18 inLost-$17.7817946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4fc…d401backed Celtics54c61.05$33 inWon+$28.086068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f57…c3acbacked 76ers49c59.35$29 inLost-$29.081926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed 76ers50c48.5$24 inLost-$24.252433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed 76ers49c39.57$19 inLost-$19.3931748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked 76ers49c38.78$19 inLost-$198328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd6cf…1025backed 76ers51c28.55$15 inLost-$14.564744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Celtics48c28.25$14 inWon+$14.691353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.