TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Over52c80,100$41,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,652.213860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c27,400$14,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,248.2437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c22,552$10,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,825.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Under48c11,935$5,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,245.012240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over53c8,001$4,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.0163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over53c7,447$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.7220545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under50c6,792$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.8216846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.8715952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c4,462$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,23187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c3,617$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.111,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over53c2,729$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c2,464$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.591,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c2,189$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.1990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c2,189$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.191,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over51c2,189$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.1958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under49c2,072$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.827546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over34c2,057$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c1,697$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.382,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over51c1,556$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4912646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over77c1,443$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.6731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Under76c1,289$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.43661.1%22 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over51c1,099$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.4816547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over52c1,064$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.5118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under49c1,006$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.7314052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c942.69$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c920$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e3…6417backed Over54c893.41$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under43c892.98$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over45c857.52$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c840.44$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over59c839.09$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5517047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over59c826.42$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.717150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40816550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ca…128abacked Over53c777.37$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Over37c698.93$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.821323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over54c691.27$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.2121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under50c630.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.421,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Over54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.722842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under48c539.37$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3620647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under48c510.36$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over58c504.01$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.325743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over53c499.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c478.1$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.961,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over59c470.25$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9915543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under52c456.46$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.130641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over47c456.01$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c446.08$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.421,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc9…7fe4backed Over66c436.9$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.917946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c398.65$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.281,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over53c392.41$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9848751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over51c366.93$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.951,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over52c337.66$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over51c330.97$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.141,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c316.47$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.882,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c304.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under42c230.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9160444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under55c229.96$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4716749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under49c211.4$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.498057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.595545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c206$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over55c201.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3231345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Under49c198.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.874845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6974…11b4backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.92650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9718850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Under51c192.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.696155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c182.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over50c157.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.628740.2%35 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Under53c152.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.233461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under48c149.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.721,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under47c126.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9513047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under43c123$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1139864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.317758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over40c113.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2737848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c111.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under46c110.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…6886backed Under51c104.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.291560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5915651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c44…6752backed Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under47c100.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under71c99.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over45c98.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under74c97.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5126450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…36c6backed Under50c96.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.974454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under51c95.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4712458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6332952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Under47c91.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.647945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c87.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over43c77.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.933647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Under57c74.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.327451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c0c…b4b6backed Under43c72.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under46c70.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.