TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,023 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over52c280.15$146 inLost-$145.683542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c272.01$136 inLost-$136.0193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c266.77$128 inWon+$138.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…ef82backed Under50c211.74$107 inWon+$105.011216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c126.41$61 inLost-$61.071,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Under51c94.15$48 inWon+$46.135736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Over52c89.7$47 inLost-$46.5360%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under52c73.85$38 inWon+$35.4517251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20f3…2c21backed Under50c64.03$32 inWon+$32.012070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under53c55.27$29 inWon+$26.1228949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…18c6backed Under50c48.5$24 inWon+$24.252268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Over48c43.6$21 inLost-$20.931866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8488…a72bbacked Over52c37.35$19 inLost-$19.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over48c30$14 inLost-$14.426957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.