NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d9a8b8c29c55a7b5dce59aa1556be274bb5c6fb2ee431237c3f656603c96583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Raptors, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,081,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,234,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,081,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Raptors | 26c | 636,479$165,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,484.63 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 471,272$347,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,843.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 300,000$222,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Raptors | 22c | 237,272$51,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,315.57 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 191,445$139,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,998.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 66c | 172,840$114,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,655.57 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 169,345$118,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,570.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors | 23c | 163,661$36,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,938.65 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Raptors | 28c | 144,470$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Cavaliers | 73c | 138,000$100,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,259.89 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 26c | 113,248$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors | 26c | 107,443$27,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,935.18 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 94,143$71,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,633.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Raptors | 27c | 92,593$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Raptors | 0c | 86,157$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.19 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Raptors | 28c | 80,586$22,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,614.45 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 80,000$59,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.93 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…7e11backed Raptors | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Raptors | 28c | 71,084$19,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,903.41 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Raptors | 44c | 69,109$30,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,484.47 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 72c | 67,171$48,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,010.94 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Raptors | 0c | 66,111$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors | 1c | 66,094$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.9 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raptors | 24c | 63,096$15,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,005.31 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cavaliers | 74c | 60,000$44,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.97 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 73c | 59,645$43,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,152.8 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 56,334$40,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,359.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers | 73c | 55,546$40,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,795.76 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Raptors | 21c | 51,333$10,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,633 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Raptors | 26c | 50,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Raptors | 33c | 42,080$13,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,852.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 41,931$26,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,831.01 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Raptors | 30c | 41,593$12,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,542.34 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0449…096fbacked Raptors | 18c | 41,045$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Raptors | 0c | 40,683$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Cavaliers | 78c | 40,624$31,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,834.71 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Raptors | 28c | 40,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e89…8a7bbacked Raptors | 29c | 39,919$11,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,714.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Raptors | 26c | 38,381$9,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,979.14 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cavaliers | 74c | 37,867$28,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,845.39 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 73c | 34,308$24,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,347 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 74c | 34,056$25,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,881.84 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Raptors | 16c | 33,160$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.45 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…ad37backed Raptors | 1c | 32,617$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Raptors | 31c | 32,149$10,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,006.48 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors | 0c | 31,750$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Cavaliers | 73c | 30,401$22,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,276.5 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Raptors | 0c | 30,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…59e5backed Raptors | 2c | 28,507$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Cavaliers | 66c | 28,287$18,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,617.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Raptors | 27c | 25,656$6,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,927.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Raptors | 0c | 25,480$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…4090backed Raptors | 5c | 25,100$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 25c | 24,941$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.26 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Raptors | 43c | 24,410$10,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,528.11 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Raptors | 41c | 24,295$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Raptors | 2c | 22,958$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.29 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Cavaliers | 79c | 22,859$18,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.21 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Raptors | 28c | 22,254$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 73c | 21,775$15,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,891.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 20,903$15,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Cavaliers | 74c | 20,157$14,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Cavaliers | 71c | 20,000$14,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.94 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Raptors | 42c | 19,433$8,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,137.45 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Raptors | 34c | 19,359$6,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 19,325$13,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.37 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Raptors | 26c | 19,231$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors | 40c | 18,615$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.42 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Raptors | 29c | 17,241$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 28c | 17,231$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Raptors | 27c | 17,083$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Raptors | 26c | 17,000$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 16,791$12,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.78 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Raptors | 39c | 16,643$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 1c | 16,513$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors | 23c | 16,445$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.17 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Raptors | 27c | 15,927$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Raptors | 29c | 15,791$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.31 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…296dbacked Raptors | 33c | 15,455$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cavaliers | 70c | 15,000$10,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cavaliers | 72c | 14,919$10,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.65 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Raptors | 34c | 14,490$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.56 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors | 1c | 14,288$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers | 70c | 14,207$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.37 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Raptors | 37c | 14,082$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155.19 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 14,000$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Raptors | 9c | 13,937$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Cavaliers | 69c | 13,600$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 13,514$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Raptors | 18c | 13,047$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 12,714$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.27 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Raptors | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Raptors | 25c | 12,206$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 203 | 46.3%94 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 40c | 11,724$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…e4afbacked Raptors | 12c | 11,180$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.56 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers | 78c | 10,963$8,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.57 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 31c | 10,345$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 10,270$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.27 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Cavaliers | 72c | 10,082$7,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.07 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 23.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 200.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.