NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec9e9e92fff1ab4f492c2bbe022bff79b66b4cb04e6668ab01826ee6dfe1dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 3,519$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.56 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 44c | 2,839$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.51 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 45c | 2,084$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.18 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 35c | 1,055$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.76 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 839.48$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.9 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 798.08$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.04 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Under | 66c | 772.8$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 55c | 726.63$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.93 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 62c | 572$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.34 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 41c | 491.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 410.74$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 60c | 403.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Under | 53c | 378.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 64c | 310.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 33c | 301.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 42c | 193$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 55c | 183.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 166.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed Under | 6c | 159.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Over | 44c | 112.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 112.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 47c | 101.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 74.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Under | 77c | 64.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 62.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Over | 49c | 61.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed Under | 62c | 59.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…f790backed Over | 58c | 52.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 55c | 42.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…7fdabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 60c | 38.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 61c | 37.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 61c | 37.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 61c | 37.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…04eabacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…307abacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Over | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf228…fbfabacked Over | 53c | 31.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 25.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 42c | 23.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 59c | 21.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 23.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 200.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.