NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8e859c0571c33a684f47926d4bb53bc658a4f0d4508266a600acbb680bcda2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $665,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Over | 48c | 130,878$62,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,056.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 50c | 78,370$39,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,081.03 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 52c | 68,170$35,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,448.22 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 66,796$34,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,866.32 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 40,865$20,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,432.5 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 49c | 32,723$16,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,130.98 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 47c | 17,039$8,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,030.83 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 51c | 15,686$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 11,416$5,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 47c | 9,797$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.43 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 9,328$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.95 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 46c | 8,538$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.44 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…e039backed Under | 51c | 8,327$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Under | 52c | 8,306$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.9 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 52c | 7,510$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.1 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 6,128$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.68 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 6,060$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.61 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 58c | 5,905$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.75 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 4,624$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 48c | 4,166$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.08 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Under | 52c | 3,807$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.89 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 50c | 3,526$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Under | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 48c | 3,098$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.92 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Under | 52c | 2,135$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 46c | 2,060$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.17 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 1,760$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.99 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Under | 53c | 1,563$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Under | 58c | 1,538$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.03 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 54c | 1,536$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.54 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.69 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,500$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Over | 48c | 1,280$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.67 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Over | 48c | 1,260$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 1,119$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 43c | 1,078$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.96 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca05…2dd7backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +338.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 50c | 995.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.4 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 48c | 969.91$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.35 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 51c | 898.27$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.15 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 880$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…7867backed Over | 49c | 865$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Under | 67c | 830.3$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 812$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Over | 51c | 783.63$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.98 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…c674backed Under | 52c | 770.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +286%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 738.94$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Over | 47c | 721.18$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 42c | 717.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.95 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 700.39$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 44c | 679.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.67 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 35c | 625.19$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.12 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 43c | 618.5$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.02 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 615.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Under | 65c | 612.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 52c | 606.13$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.98 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Over | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 579.47$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 48c | 522.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.88 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Under | 57c | 522.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Over | 51c | 507.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 54c | 499.26$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 61c | 449.73$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 52c | 447$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 57c | 440.67$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 53c | 438.7$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 52c | 435.27$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 41c | 418.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…33e5backed Over | 48c | 417.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…bf84backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 50c | 414.84$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 413.14$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 53c | 402.12$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Over | 51c | 388.12$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Over | 15c | 387.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.76 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 368$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 23.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 200.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.