NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9031e1805161fc35101a7277db3e9596d6d69faa9627cdee805b51c30e61e169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,196,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,230,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,196,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 574 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,038,713$516,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521,768.94 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 50c | 534,918$267,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267,458.84 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 287,920$145,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,254.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 49c | 268,401$131,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,516.5 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Raptors | 51c | 173,539$88,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,989.77 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Raptors | 50c | 167,962$83,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,980.97 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 120,633$60,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,316.63 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 49c | 100,305$49,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,124.3 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cavaliers | 49c | 63,154$30,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,208.6 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Raptors | 52c | 61,820$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 49c | 50,750$24,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,867.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 40,015$20,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,007.71 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Cavaliers | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,500 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 50c | 28,950$14,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,514 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 28,762$14,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400.98 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 26,000$12,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,189.98 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Raptors | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Raptors | 52c | 24,326$12,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,579.32 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 20,201$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200.63 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Raptors | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 19,510$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,559.8 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 50c | 16,447$8,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,223.28 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Raptors | 53c | 15,140$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Raptors | 51c | 14,706$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors | 50c | 13,180$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.83 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Raptors | 51c | 12,780$6,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 11,591$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Raptors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Raptors | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Raptors | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 9,411$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Raptors | 54c | 9,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…8606backed Raptors | 50c | 9,244$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Raptors | 50c | 9,000$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.77 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 49c | 8,153$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.95 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Raptors | 51c | 8,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…6482backed Raptors | 51c | 7,510$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Raptors | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Raptors | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,941$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.18 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Raptors | 50c | 6,573$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Raptors | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Raptors | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Raptors | 51c | 5,509$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.41 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,376$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Raptors | 50c | 5,350$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,260$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 50c | 5,141$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Raptors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Raptors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Raptors | 54c | 4,593$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Cavaliers | 51c | 4,500$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,183$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.05 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Raptors | 72c | 4,101$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.14 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Raptors | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,856$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.67 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,725$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.49 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…e4afbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Raptors | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Raptors | 52c | 3,058$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Raptors | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Raptors | 0c | 2,740$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…11c1backed Raptors | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,694$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.4 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Raptors | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 58c | 2,572$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Raptors | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Raptors | 50c | 2,341$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.38 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,054$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.1 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Raptors | 50c | 2,024$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.7 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Raptors | 50c | 1,987$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Raptors | 55c | 1,971$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.05 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Raptors | 26c | 1,932$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Raptors | 51c | 1,919$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Raptors | 52c | 1,714$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,674$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.52 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fa…f86fbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,648$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,636$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.6 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,591$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.19 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7110…b042backed Raptors | 53c | 1,555$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,554$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.85 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 40c | 1,553$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Raptors | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raptors | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 23.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 200.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.