TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jan Choinski

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cristian Garinof Cristian Garin, Jan Choinski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Jan Choinski15c21,552$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.118,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Cristian Garin74c18,934$14,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,903.52572%18 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jan Choinski14c13,262$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.614,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f75…af7ebacked Cristian Garin76c11,157$8,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.510761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…d370backed Jan Choinski30c8,820$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6463839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jan Choinski21c6,253$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.7711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jan Choinski36c6,219$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.786,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Cristian Garin67c5,100$3,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68331234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jan Choinski28c4,837$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.244,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jan Choinski21c3,571$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.577,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jan Choinski24c3,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Cristian Garin74c3,419$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.311,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jan Choinski15c3,338$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.88,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Jan Choinski26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Cristian Garin75c2,210$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.1194068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jan Choinski19c1,617$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.765,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Jan Choinski20c1,477$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7426131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Jan Choinski32c1,281$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0127431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Cristian Garin79c1,257$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.4244448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Jan Choinski25c1,102$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4180341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Cristian Garin71c822.05$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9619756.3%111 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Jan Choinski19c781.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508235.4%29 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa838…bccebacked Cristian Garin70c714.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.286264.5%40 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jan Choinski22c666.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.472,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Cristian Garin76c655.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3550458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e81…a0e9backed Cristian Garin67c615$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.13542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Jan Choinski48c605.36$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29062545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Cristian Garin74c537.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5960158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jan Choinski29c535$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.151,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Jan Choinski30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Jan Choinski10c500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.82336.1%2 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Cristian Garin66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17032851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jan Choinski28c450$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.352,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Jan Choinski32c445.12$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.261,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Jan Choinski25c397.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1416258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Cristian Garin71c366.2$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.211158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Cristian Garin75c346.93$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7315951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Cristian Garin66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0312150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jan Choinski21c300.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.396,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jan Choinski25c297.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.847,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb537…2e9cbacked Cristian Garin71c297.42$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Cristian Garin72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7846562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8c…419fbacked Cristian Garin76c261.75$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.821963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Jan Choinski34c250.76$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.012,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jan Choinski24c208.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.347,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Cristian Garin73c204.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2615070%105 W · 45 L+0.6wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Jan Choinski28c203.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.841,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Cristian Garin63c201.96$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.961,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Cristian Garin70c194.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.53,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Cristian Garin72c191$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.396946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Jan Choinski16c188.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0485624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Cristian Garin68c180.33$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8556070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Cristian Garin75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b55…1ab9backed Jan Choinski31c161.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.987335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jan Choinski38c154.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3462952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Jan Choinski19c153.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.869041.1%37 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Jan Choinski26c143.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8328348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Cristian Garin70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8617538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Cristian Garin73c136.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1829241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Cristian Garin73c136.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3831841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Jan Choinski34c127.79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4515928.9%46 W · 113 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Jan Choinski26c127.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.651,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Jan Choinski27c125.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.382,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Jan Choinski26c125.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.614744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cristian Garin64c122.22$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.552,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Jan Choinski41c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.755360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Jan Choinski25c119.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Jan Choinski28c113.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.891,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Cristian Garin75c113.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8727667%185 W · 91 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…323abacked Jan Choinski28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013640.4%55 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cristian Garin68c106.01$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.923,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Jan Choinski22c105.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.545549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Jan Choinski29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cristian Garin76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Jan Choinski20c99.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Jan Choinski33c98.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.492,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Jan Choinski31c95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4550340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Cristian Garin72c94.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3828756.1%161 W · 126 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48dc…c7d5backed Cristian Garin74c93.91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.426666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Jan Choinski30c93.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2871021.3%151 W · 559 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Jan Choinski28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511247.3%53 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb594…c1a0backed Cristian Garin73c88.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.947768.8%53 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Jan Choinski30c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.516529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jan Choinski22c82.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.112,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Jan Choinski26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016349.7%81 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jan Choinski28c76.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.322,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Jan Choinski46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.531366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Jan Choinski29c74.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Cristian Garin68c74.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8225763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Jan Choinski46c74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.231,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Jan Choinski26c73.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1356817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Jan Choinski30c72.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3539842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f10…0cb9backed Cristian Garin70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.437263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Cristian Garin71c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.596266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Cristian Garin74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.572254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecc5…6e99backed Cristian Garin74c67.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43857.9%22 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Jan Choinski28c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7684640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…c407backed Jan Choinski27c66.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.914327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0787…43d5backed Cristian Garin76c66.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9111748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Cristian Garin62c63.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1332853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.