NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4b5d1390278a728cea8024a464c2ed8f69c615e60325f1735ad961b0b6ed51

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
Resolved: Apr 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,972,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,130,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,972,713 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves	46c	892,280$414,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477,686.68	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Nuggets	52c	480,839$250,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250,036.43	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Nuggets	51c	426,991$217,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217,765.37	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves	49c	359,700$176,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183,447.11	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets	72c	238,783$172,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172,533.46	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves	54c	235,725$126,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109,407.91	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Timberwolves	47c	217,558$102,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115,247.61	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Nuggets	54c	145,670$78,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,371.84	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Timberwolves	43c	138,061$58,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,367.48	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Nuggets	53c	127,734$68,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,279.39	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Nuggets	52c	125,724$64,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,858.45	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets	29c	106,507$31,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,024.78	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Nuggets	52c	103,143$54,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,003.11	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Timberwolves	50c	98,042$49,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,021.21	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves	41c	95,762$39,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,514.46	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Timberwolves	47c	93,017$44,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,887.2	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets	44c	92,430$40,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,351.38	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets	68c	91,827$62,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,255.39	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves	48c	79,231$38,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,199.97	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Timberwolves	36c	78,902$28,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,197.19	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Timberwolves	43c	77,452$33,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,981.84	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Timberwolves	49c	76,958$37,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,248.83	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves	47c	62,300$29,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,260.61	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Nuggets	64c	61,217$39,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,125.97	152	74.3%113 W · 39 L	+22.2wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd6df…d1e3backed Nuggets	0c	56,949$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Nuggets	72c	56,816$41,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,110.79	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-12.5wins	-0.21per pick	62cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets	64c	52,948$33,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,643.96	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Timberwolves	49c	50,982$24,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,000.8	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.8wins	+0.22per pick	54cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Nuggets	50c	50,841$25,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,259.79	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Nuggets	52c	50,074$26,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,038.7	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Nuggets	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Nuggets	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,499.99	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets	53c	49,549$26,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,057.16	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Timberwolves	47c	49,192$23,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,071.84	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets	48c	47,350$22,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,653.63	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Timberwolves	22c	42,000$9,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,668.68	190	33.7%64 W · 126 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets	61c	41,765$25,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,461.01	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Timberwolves	47c	37,309$17,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,773.69	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb70e…cde2backed Nuggets	52c	35,475$18,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,471.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves	34c	35,252$12,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,166.43	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Nuggets	63c	32,677$20,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,426.51	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets	5c	30,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets	52c	28,347$14,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,730.65	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves	33c	26,256$8,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,482.04	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Nuggets	50c	25,903$12,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,951.47	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+5.5wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets	50c	24,989$12,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,603.74	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ac…c991backed Nuggets	58c	24,763$14,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,346.14	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Timberwolves	34c	24,637$8,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,260.6	105	30.5%32 W · 73 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Timberwolves	51c	23,982$12,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,832.94	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves	30c	22,820$6,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,004.02	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Timberwolves	46c	21,700$9,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,718	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Nuggets	52c	21,582$11,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,222.64	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Nuggets	68c	21,323$14,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,553.74	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-6.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets	64c	21,157$13,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,559.38	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves	36c	20,096$7,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,837.02	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Timberwolves	30c	20,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,000	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Timberwolves	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Nuggets	60c	19,946$11,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,977.93	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Timberwolves	48c	19,376$9,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,075.52	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	43c	19,361$8,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,011.39	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves	47c	18,900$8,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,016.99	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets	52c	18,677$9,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,712	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets	67c	16,132$10,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,781.08	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe5…ae70backed Nuggets	1c	16,101$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.1	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Nuggets	76c	16,052$12,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,179.64	103	52.4%54 W · 49 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets	42c	15,951$6,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,772.82	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets	52c	15,455$8,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,036.69	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb08f…4ea1backed Timberwolves	49c	14,928$7,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,660.83	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves	34c	14,701$4,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,721.31	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf928…8016backed Nuggets	68c	14,339$9,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,810.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Timberwolves	42c	14,114$5,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,214.98	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets	52c	14,079$7,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,302.11	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets	52c	14,008$7,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,283.99	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves	51c	13,773$7,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,770.06	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Timberwolves	26c	13,396$3,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,910.03	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nuggets	56c	13,331$7,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,412.57	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Timberwolves	45c	13,113$5,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,260.01	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nuggets	1c	13,044$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.96	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Nuggets	49c	12,824$6,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,283.6	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves	34c	12,696$4,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,417.63	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17c4…02fdbacked Nuggets	19c	12,428$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400.1	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Timberwolves	37c	11,909$4,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,471.58	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.19per pick	49cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Nuggets	37c	11,899$4,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,420.77	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Nuggets	6c	11,830$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.42	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves	34c	11,562$3,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,620.58	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	51c	11,173$5,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,652.28	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Timberwolves	43c	11,134$4,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,303.59	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…64bbbacked Timberwolves	52c	11,130$5,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,385.39	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Nuggets	25c	10,797$2,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,744.17	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Nuggets	17c	10,685$1,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,807.86	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Timberwolves	48c	10,650$5,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,538.01	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Nuggets	78c	10,561$8,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,262.35	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Nuggets	51c	10,421$5,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,302.21	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nuggets	56c	10,326$5,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,774.29	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Timberwolves	48c	10,092$4,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,247.67	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Timberwolves	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,399.96	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb167…039dbacked Nuggets	0c	9,930$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Nuggets	54c	9,871$5,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,330.38	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Timberwolves	50c	9,741$4,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,891.98	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Nuggets	51c	9,706$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950.06	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesthis page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 14.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event