NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a6747c2269e12b7e089c231aa72efb332b4cac867ddc71ef7ace980b61c955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 90,000$41,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,599.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 60,802$42,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,617.16 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 56c | 53,726$29,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,940.73 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 33,360$18,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,039.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 47c | 20,883$9,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,054.14 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 16,765$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,735.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 11,125$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,313.54 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 36c | 10,994$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 33c | 10,919$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,631$5,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.06 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ecf5backed Nuggets | 50c | 7,206$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Timberwolves | 46c | 6,704$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.62 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,269$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,260$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.72 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 35c | 4,614$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.52 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,344$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.86 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Nuggets | 39c | 3,807$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.61 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,583$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.82 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 46c | 3,296$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.8 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,258$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Nuggets | 79c | 3,201$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.72 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,901$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.55 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,693$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.51 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Nuggets | 57c | 2,580$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.96 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,533$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.74 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 2,518$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.73 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Timberwolves | 21c | 2,292$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.77 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 2,209$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.49 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f90…acffbacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,206$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.11 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,177$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,153$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.55 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 30c | 2,142$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…441dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,060$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…4765backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 67c | 2,019$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,975$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.49 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,890$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,710$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.8 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,657$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,597$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,542$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Timberwolves | 28c | 1,520$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.75 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 33c | 1,434$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.75 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,404$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.06 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,369$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.78 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,224$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.3 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,202$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.68 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,187$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.38 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,133$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.18 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,123$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.83 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.9 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Timberwolves | 23c | 1,065$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.86 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Nuggets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc309…513dbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 923$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 53c | 914.89$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 57c | 908.13$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.34 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Nuggets | 57c | 854.91$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Nuggets | 69c | 837.36$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.82 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Timberwolves | 47c | 737.84$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.59 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…db73backed Nuggets | 54c | 638.08$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Nuggets | 15c | 627.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Nuggets | 53c | 597.07$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.06 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nuggets | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Nuggets | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Nuggets | 51c | 535.18$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…8ddabacked Nuggets | 61c | 521.92$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.37 | 51 | 80.4%41 W · 10 L | +9.7wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Nuggets | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nuggets | 54c | 487.26$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 456.87$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…db12backed Nuggets | 53c | 445.6$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Timberwolves | 32c | 422.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.19 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Timberwolves | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Nuggets | 71c | 415.87$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Timberwolves | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves | 20c | 402.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.52 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Nuggets | 54c | 362.6$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Nuggets | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Nuggets | 56c | 348.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Nuggets | 51c | 342.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Timberwolves | 32c | 340.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 289.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 273.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…c5bbbacked Nuggets | 77c | 264.6$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Nuggets | 41c | 262.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Nuggets | 56c | 261.07$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…65e9backed Nuggets | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Nuggets | 51c | 256.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 256.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.47 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Nuggets | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets | 60c | 246.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Nuggets | 56c | 235.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Nuggets | 44c | 221.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Timberwolves | 34c | 219.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 212$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 14.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.