TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5eff…db12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 49 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 49 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.3
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.45
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$287.42
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.07
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.96
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$82.47
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.47
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.52
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.05
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.64
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.31
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.84
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$321.1
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.5
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.05
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.06
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$228.21
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.83
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.13
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$63.02
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.4%+$264.56
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$255.07
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$153.3
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.75
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.63
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.17
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.4
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.85
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.44
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.81
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$220.11
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.34
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$496.14
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.54
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.28
Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.31
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.8
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.04
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.77
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.97
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.08
BNP Paribas Open: Ugo Humbert vs Alex Michelsenbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.74
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$435.32
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+162.5%+$429.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-78.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$196.95
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$165.66
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96.6
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.