Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f4faa276ee6b6f8480e48d36d5807941b52b3a2eea9fdf88372d97b988fa080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Arkansas Razorbacks, Missouri Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,729 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Missouri Tigers | 56c | 66,262$37,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,349.97 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 38,195$16,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,911.13 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 25,925$11,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,178.93 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 9,735$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Missouri Tigers | 58c | 7,764$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.7 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Missouri Tigers | 37c | 7,294$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Missouri Tigers | 57c | 6,469$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 6,440$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.77 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 6,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 62c | 5,161$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.94 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri Tigers | 56c | 5,086$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…1381backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri Tigers | 46c | 3,611$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.58 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 52c | 3,558$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.85 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri Tigers | 33c | 3,267$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 3,123$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 56c | 3,118$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.7 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 54c | 2,875$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.91 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 52c | 2,863$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.14 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Missouri Tigers | 50c | 2,723$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.29 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Missouri Tigers | 34c | 2,436$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.77 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 51c | 2,401$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Missouri Tigers | 26c | 2,005$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.7 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Missouri Tigers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 40c | 1,995$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.21 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 55c | 1,869$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.9 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661b…17babacked Missouri Tigers | 60c | 1,653$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Missouri Tigers | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 1,350$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.7 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Missouri Tigers | 59c | 1,224$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.86 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 63c | 1,203$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Missouri Tigers | 51c | 1,077$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.75 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Missouri Tigers | 56c | 1,067$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.82 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 999.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 880.72$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed Missouri Tigers | 27c | 840.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.44 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…a239backed Missouri Tigers | 50c | 801.17$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 59c | 747.4$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.55 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…36c8backed Missouri Tigers | 58c | 743.61$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Missouri Tigers | 40c | 723.3$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.72 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 53c | 699.71$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…fad9backed Missouri Tigers | 41c | 636.9$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri Tigers | 26c | 585.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Missouri Tigers | 59c | 565.06$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.38 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 39c | 555.54$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.88 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 554.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.86 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Missouri Tigers | 56c | 540.72$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.8 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 531.49$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 513.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 62c | 502.88$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…db12backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 472.19$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Missouri Tigers | 42c | 468.2$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 458.87$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Missouri Tigers | 58c | 457.7$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 52c | 446.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 445$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.55 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 431.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.46 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…0b43backed Missouri Tigers | 58c | 427.36$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 414.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.63 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 411.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 409.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Missouri Tigers | 26c | 405.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 400.81$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…1c79backed Missouri Tigers | 58c | 398.49$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 396.57$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Missouri Tigers | 59c | 379.47$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.89 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 377.81$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Missouri Tigers | 59c | 358.66$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Missouri Tigers | 39c | 354.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Missouri Tigers | 26c | 351.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…4cb7backed Missouri Tigers | 62c | 350.36$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Missouri Tigers | 40c | 342.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Missouri Tigers | 74c | 337.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 331.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 330.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d48…eca0backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 61c | 325.66$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Missouri Tigers | 67c | 315.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 291.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 60c | 285.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 40c | 275.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Missouri Tigers | 58c | 271.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Missouri Tigers | 58c | 259.03$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 252.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ec76backed Missouri Tigers | 32c | 248.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 247.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 57c | 242.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Missouri Tigers | 59c | 242$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 241.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 236.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Missouri Tigers | 50c | 231.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 230.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 58c | 213$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 54c | 211.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 207.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Missouri Tigers | 24c | 207.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 205.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigersthis page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 159.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-1.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-2.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-3.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.