Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Missouri Tigers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe6f0a44c64c5bfab072fdfd621eea402240655a76a09d54a3973f5ebf0ecdd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Missouri Tigers, Arkansas Razorbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,397 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 180,462$99,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,238.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 174,118$78,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,764.97 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 5,575$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.33 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 3,711$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 54c | 1,969$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 1,780$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.71 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 1,727$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 1,288$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.52 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Missouri Tigers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 816.12$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.38 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 799.98$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 707.75$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 657.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri Tigers | 49c | 520.43$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 520.25$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 437.13$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 431$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 403.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 381.38$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 362.71$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 61c | 340.48$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 330.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 272.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Missouri Tigers | 25c | 232.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 207.28$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 204.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Missouri Tigers | 54c | 184.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 175.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 172.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Missouri Tigers | 46c | 165.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 149.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Missouri Tigers | 36c | 137.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 129.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 128.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 65c | 119.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 115.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…0d55backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 93.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 87.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 85.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 80.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 78.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 75.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Missouri Tigers | 42c | 70.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Missouri Tigers | 50c | 69.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 64.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Missouri Tigers | 55c | 63.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 58c | 57.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Missouri Tigers | 49c | 56.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 55.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…fd20backed Missouri Tigers | 55c | 54.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 52.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 48.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Missouri Tigers | 35c | 46.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 42.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 41.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Missouri Tigers | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…1beebacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 36.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…ec4bbacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 24.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 68c | 23.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…bebdbacked Missouri Tigers | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-2.5)this page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri TigersArkansas Razorbacks won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 159.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-1.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-3.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.