TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ben Sheltonof Marcos Giron, Ben Shelton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$624,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$687,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f8b…01aabacked Marcos Giron13c39,842$5,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,335.638429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Marcos Giron35c32,958$11,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,413.145737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Marcos Giron22c13,440$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.144,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ben Shelton74c11,148$8,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.738,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3936…366dbacked Ben Shelton63c10,811$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,010.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Ben Shelton80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00033556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Marcos Giron23c9,987$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.0934047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187a…a22bbacked Marcos Giron26c9,817$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.345038%19 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Marcos Giron10c9,762$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.2527431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Marcos Giron44c8,681$3,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,786.677062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce9…61e5backed Marcos Giron15c7,596$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10211547%54 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Ben Shelton77c6,233$4,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.616165.6%40 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Marcos Giron15c5,923$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.3966139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Ben Shelton61c4,931$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.1121454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ben Shelton67c4,443$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.311,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Ben Shelton64c4,375$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5755554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Ben Shelton78c4,114$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.0618159.7%108 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ben Shelton67c3,845$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.964,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ben Shelton76c3,613$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.264,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Marcos Giron23c3,532$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.72,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marcos Giron18c3,303$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.527,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Marcos Giron10c3,170$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.432810.7%3 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-75.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Marcos Giron10c3,166$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8937421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Marcos Giron21c3,114$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5580341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…f7a9backed Marcos Giron7c3,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+9,940.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Ben Shelton64c3,000$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.9724643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Marcos Giron21c2,992$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.7368935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Ben Shelton73c2,783$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.4560053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Marcos Giron18c2,756$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49611843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Marcos Giron19c2,583$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.8972132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Ben Shelton78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.162061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Ben Shelton77c2,250$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.56070%42 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…12c7backed Marcos Giron11c2,109$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.235341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Marcos Giron28c2,056$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5782,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Marcos Giron8c2,024$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.931028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd515…14febacked Marcos Giron9c2,010$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Marcos Giron43c1,963$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.1511646.6%54 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Marcos Giron17c1,828$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.376,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Marcos Giron22c1,818$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marcos Giron31c1,789$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.315,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Marcos Giron42c1,785$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.813946.8%65 W · 74 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Marcos Giron17c1,619$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3635032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Ben Shelton68c1,583$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9615665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed Ben Shelton64c1,555$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.828444%37 W · 47 L-9.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Ben Shelton60c1,537$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6171,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Marcos Giron24c1,509$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6253843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Marcos Giron8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Marcos Giron20c1,499$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30219626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Marcos Giron27c1,492$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8527733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Ben Shelton67c1,468$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.35425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Ben Shelton72c1,433$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1859965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Marcos Giron19c1,421$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Marcos Giron32c1,375$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.3328562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Marcos Giron9c1,336$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2756827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3957…35f0backed Ben Shelton74c1,313$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1517372.3%125 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Marcos Giron22c1,286$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.931,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ben Shelton71c1,284$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.063,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Ben Shelton78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0594068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed Marcos Giron8c1,244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007320.5%15 W · 58 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a8…865abacked Marcos Giron9c1,169$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Marcos Giron7c1,107$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.511,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Marcos Giron13c1,077$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…1dd3backed Marcos Giron10c1,021$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.281118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Ben Shelton77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305164.7%33 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Marcos Giron26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Marcos Giron39c1,000$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.7415436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Ben Shelton61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39010358.3%60 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Marcos Giron27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.91,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Ben Shelton79c994.85$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5391755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ben Shelton76c975.26$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.734,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Ben Shelton76c934.88$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.441,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Marcos Giron25c924.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0599249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Marcos Giron43c914.28$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.513427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marcos Giron31c914.19$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Marcos Giron26c890.38$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.82,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Ben Shelton63c869.83$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8316848.2%81 W · 87 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Marcos Giron31c808.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Ben Shelton70c800.23$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4586470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Marcos Giron25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Marcos Giron39c800$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.689,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Ben Shelton70c785.23$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.963,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Marcos Giron39c763.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Ben Shelton68c734.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0921567.4%145 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Ben Shelton77c732.6$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.541060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…0062backed Ben Shelton61c730.49$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Marcos Giron19c702.21$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.421,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Marcos Giron19c702.21$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.421,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Ben Shelton72c684.7$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.752155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9b…8aedbacked Marcos Giron20c682.79$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.553348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Marcos Giron11c681.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757512%9 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Marcos Giron30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Ben Shelton59c649.97$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9954634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf12…afb8backed Ben Shelton77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.35887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Ben Shelton61c647.8$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9839046.4%181 W · 209 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Ben Shelton75c599.43$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7155243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Ben Shelton60c598.62$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4612756.7%72 W · 55 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Marcos Giron22c587.5$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12884640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Ben Shelton60c573.78$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5119835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Marcos Giron25c532.66$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13216047.5%76 W · 84 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Marcos Giron27c529.38$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.012,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.