TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisville Cardinalsof South Florida Bulls, Louisville Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,991,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,991,930 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Louisville Cardinals77c886,098$685,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200,749.4517742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed South Florida Bulls1c608,536$7,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,592.8521636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked South Florida Bulls36c333,877$119,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,713.9339454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x442b…9403backed Louisville Cardinals64c320,699$206,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,149.46540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed South Florida Bulls37c252,768$93,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,524.094334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Louisville Cardinals63c220,520$138,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,592.2722645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Louisville Cardinals66c180,215$118,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,535.762213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisville Cardinals63c169,152$107,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,028.312,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed Louisville Cardinals66c144,621$94,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,771.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+151.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e55…044ebacked Louisville Cardinals65c133,144$86,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,600.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed South Florida Bulls37c111,469$41,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,585.2410749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Louisville Cardinals63c106,568$67,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,430.312222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked South Florida Bulls36c103,343$36,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,711.171,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd5…ed17backed Louisville Cardinals65c100,000$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Louisville Cardinals63c100,000$63,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,999.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Louisville Cardinals65c98,864$64,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,304.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed South Florida Bulls5c97,763$4,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,693.8728539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked South Florida Bulls3c93,958$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.545536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Louisville Cardinals64c86,428$55,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,113.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed South Florida Bulls13c83,450$11,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,097.34540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Louisville Cardinals65c80,818$52,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,286.2790645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe61…4665backed Louisville Cardinals65c77,490$50,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,264.171040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184f…05e5backed South Florida Bulls13c57,303$7,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,391.393129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Louisville Cardinals63c55,444$34,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,514.284628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad7…c55bbacked Louisville Cardinals65c50,000$32,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,5003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked South Florida Bulls35c49,602$17,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,360.662729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54ed…d4b2backed Louisville Cardinals64c47,975$30,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,050.882454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Louisville Cardinals65c46,409$30,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,280.3414346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Louisville Cardinals76c45,720$34,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,776.6925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Louisville Cardinals65c40,000$25,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,20016341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b63…27a7backed Louisville Cardinals65c40,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Louisville Cardinals65c40,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,0003641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Louisville Cardinals67c38,739$26,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,649.525,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Louisville Cardinals65c36,274$23,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,570.413661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Louisville Cardinals66c35,192$23,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,964.283732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Louisville Cardinals66c32,635$21,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,969.8618954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Louisville Cardinals62c32,258$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,258.064047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Louisville Cardinals65c31,702$20,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,095.714940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Louisville Cardinals63c31,190$19,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,540.365541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked South Florida Bulls35c30,767$10,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,706.71650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed South Florida Bulls37c30,748$11,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,297.3960548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2336…9e65backed Louisville Cardinals66c30,430$20,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,346.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d29…414dbacked Louisville Cardinals65c30,142$19,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,583.021936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed South Florida Bulls1c29,991$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.91287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-79.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd95c…11c2backed South Florida Bulls0c29,218$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96a…396abacked Louisville Cardinals65c28,930$18,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,125.648100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+77.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Louisville Cardinals62c26,400$16,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,03219950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Louisville Cardinals61c26,000$15,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,139.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6431…ab69backed South Florida Bulls37c24,898$9,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,212.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Louisville Cardinals65c24,008$15,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,482.966643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked South Florida Bulls19c22,957$4,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,361.774436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Louisville Cardinals63c21,923$13,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,111.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a2…9ac5backed South Florida Bulls20c21,839$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b62…daccbacked Louisville Cardinals65c21,000$13,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3701520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed South Florida Bulls19c20,308$3,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,958.822,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Louisville Cardinals62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Louisville Cardinals66c20,000$13,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9005054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe472…e7ebbacked Louisville Cardinals65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Louisville Cardinals65c20,000$13,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked South Florida Bulls2c19,977$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.536142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05fd…50c9backed Louisville Cardinals64c18,028$11,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,467.421553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Louisville Cardinals65c17,393$11,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,089.658748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Louisville Cardinals66c16,987$11,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,835.412951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Louisville Cardinals77c16,863$12,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.9549345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Louisville Cardinals79c16,656$13,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,497.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd6…aafcbacked Louisville Cardinals66c15,529$10,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Louisville Cardinals65c15,152$9,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,303.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Louisville Cardinals65c15,000$9,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2948046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Louisville Cardinals62c15,000$9,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,650520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Louisville Cardinals65c15,000$9,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2205054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eeb…f025backed South Florida Bulls0c14,600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+90.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked South Florida Bulls34c14,390$4,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,892.631,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed South Florida Bulls35c13,281$4,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,648.4184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57de…cd90backed Louisville Cardinals65c13,000$8,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5501283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+59.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Louisville Cardinals66c13,000$8,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Louisville Cardinals64c12,511$7,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.7235147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Louisville Cardinals62c12,479$7,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,792.1661652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked South Florida Bulls36c12,369$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Louisville Cardinals74c12,088$8,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.049839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871f…5ac9backed Louisville Cardinals68c11,749$7,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.34475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Louisville Cardinals65c11,609$7,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.063348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cbc…df50backed Louisville Cardinals64c11,542$7,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Louisville Cardinals65c11,500$7,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0252050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed South Florida Bulls35c11,272$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,945.174738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Florida Bulls20c11,202$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.242,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Louisville Cardinals62c10,951$6,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,195.718744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb3…02bfbacked Louisville Cardinals66c10,938$7,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.031637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed South Florida Bulls0c10,722$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Louisville Cardinals66c10,500$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5707337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb40d…c72dbacked Louisville Cardinals65c10,500$6,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Louisville Cardinals61c10,389$6,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.835143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d7…7e39backed Louisville Cardinals65c10,030$6,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed South Florida Bulls19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Louisville Cardinals65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…97f4backed Louisville Cardinals66c9,864$6,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.031833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Louisville Cardinals66c9,433$6,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.363138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Louisville Cardinals64c9,282$5,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.1613343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed South Florida Bulls4c9,132$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5820548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed South Florida Bulls33c9,111$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.6318048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Louisville Cardinals62c9,085$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.31866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.