Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd29855485630f7331227605ec2b39daaa4c4f11ac3a81048a65b5d568e189fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof Louisville Cardinals, South Florida Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,247 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked South Florida Bulls | 53c | 37,049$19,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,495.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked South Florida Bulls | 54c | 33,044$17,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200.03 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 31,190$14,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,359.07 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 29,936$14,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,967.88 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 17,827$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…abf3backed Louisville Cardinals | 0c | 14,549$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 8,996$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 7,963$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.03 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 7,777$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked South Florida Bulls | 51c | 6,995$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.52 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 6,034$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 5,602$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 5,579$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.41 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Florida Bulls | 46c | 5,358$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…833fbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…cd90backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 4,804$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.08 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked South Florida Bulls | 53c | 4,258$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.33 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 4,046$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.51 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed South Florida Bulls | 47c | 4,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 3,965$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 3,463$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.04 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 3,336$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.33 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 2,974$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.62 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 2,877$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.59 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Louisville Cardinals | 54c | 2,732$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.98 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…d4b2backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 2,569$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 2,491$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.94 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 2,381$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 2,107$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed South Florida Bulls | 52c | 2,082$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.35 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 2,058$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 2,056$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.6 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 2,041$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.22 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.88 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 1,986$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.78 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 1,983$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.08 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed South Florida Bulls | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 1,821$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.36 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 1,714$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.94 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 1,641$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.93 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…9448backed Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed South Florida Bulls | 47c | 1,585$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.32 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 1,554$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 1,388$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.24 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked South Florida Bulls | 48c | 1,266$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 1,194$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.75 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,107$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.29 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed South Florida Bulls | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Louisville Cardinals | 44c | 1,075$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.82 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 1,069$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.2 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.69 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 1,011$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.54 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…044ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…b5f4backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 996.35$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.32 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 995.37$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.59 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 991.25$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed South Florida Bulls | 51c | 969.87$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.24 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 938.57$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 916.96$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 747.82$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed South Florida Bulls | 52c | 714.85$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.13 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Louisville Cardinals | 60c | 625.22$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 470.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.14 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 448.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed South Florida Bulls | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked South Florida Bulls | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed South Florida Bulls | 52c | 334.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 316.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked South Florida Bulls | 49c | 312.37$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 302.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 294.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 293.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed South Florida Bulls | 52c | 266.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 261.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked South Florida Bulls | 52c | 247.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 247.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 238.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 221.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked South Florida Bulls | 45c | 220.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…6c47backed Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 212.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…012bbacked South Florida Bulls | 51c | 210.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…21c2backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 201.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked South Florida Bulls | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 190.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)this page
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsLouisville Cardinals won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 146.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 147.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 148.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 149.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 151.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 153.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 156.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 159.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 160.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 161.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 162.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 163.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 164.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-10.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)Louisville Cardinals won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-5.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-9.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.