Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9c111448edebf8336e8badf0fd728aeb7a4095921e52a3ac8577f9492022f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,401 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 3,432$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.63 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 2,598$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.82 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 1,011$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.24 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 46c | 991.31$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 49c | 986.25$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.26 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under | 57c | 869.67$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 54c | 725.85$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.43 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 22c | 693.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 54c | 411.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 378.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 292.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 259.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 252.49$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.78 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 238.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 50c | 228.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 32c | 186.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 45c | 171.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 158.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 154.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 101.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 77.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 24c | 58.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 46c | 55.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Under | 52c | 40.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 54c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 54c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 55c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 54c | 18.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…e9b9backed Under | 62c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 63c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 162.5this page
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsLouisville Cardinals won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 146.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 147.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 148.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 149.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 151.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 153.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 156.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 159.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 160.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 161.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 163.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 164.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-10.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)Louisville Cardinals won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-5.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-9.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.