South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d53eb1e93c775c720ab92cea8fee18b6a9d55a224b13e2271eb2f7c1ebc3a9

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,551 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Under	52c	14,925$7,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,164.21	609	49.8%303 W · 306 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	7,837$3,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,711.31	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over	48c	6,206$2,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,970.88	143	46.9%67 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Over	48c	4,043$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,940.82	154	53.9%83 W · 71 L	+16.8wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under	52c	3,068$1,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,472.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Over	48c	2,475$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.08	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over	49c	2,288$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.52	155	56.1%87 W · 68 L	+15.8wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	32c	2,201$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.01	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f2…2ba5backed Over	47c	1,334$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.98	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Under	62c	1,240$772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.79	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	75c	1,234$922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.12	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	52c	1,100$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Over	1c	1,078$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under	52c	1,074$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517	185	56.8%105 W · 80 L	+14.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	15c	1,050$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.75	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	422	46.2%195 W · 227 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd14d…e2bfbacked Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	43c	701.72$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.83	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over	45c	577.72$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.18	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	48c	549.16$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.6	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	48c	537.02$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.77	922	46%424 W · 498 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	43c	515.43$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.6	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over	16c	372.59$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Over	47c	358.55$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.52	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	33c	271.27$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.62	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under	52c	223.29$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.18	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Over	48c	206.18$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.97	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Over	49c	204.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.25	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	76c	204.31$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.34	2,003	53.7%1,076 W · 927 L	+101.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	13c	190.72$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	191	53.9%103 W · 88 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3324…3b4cbacked Under	74c	174.93$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.39	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under	53c	132.48$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.91	394	54.6%215 W · 179 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	214	55.6%119 W · 95 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over	38c	99.18$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.69	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	48c	99.13$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	624	51.1%319 W · 305 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under	55c	97.15$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.72	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over	48c	96.24$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.19	507	45.2%229 W · 278 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	52c	89.21$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.82	114	56.1%64 W · 50 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over	47c	85.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.07	301	52.8%159 W · 142 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	82.62$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.35	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under	58c	80$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.4	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	48c	77.63$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	296	50.7%150 W · 146 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Under	56c	70.81$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.16	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	19c	64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	848	54.5%462 W · 386 L	+32.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	57c	62.26$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.76	115	60%69 W · 46 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under	63c	57.25$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.33	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Over	50c	55.51$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under	50c	53.63$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.82	180	48.9%88 W · 92 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over	48c	51.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	71	62%44 W · 27 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	49c	50.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over	37c	47.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	372	46.2%172 W · 200 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Over	49c	45.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	38c	45.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	353	38.5%136 W · 217 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	80c	45.19$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.15	83	72.3%60 W · 23 L	+14.6wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Under	55c	45.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under	44c	44.59$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.97	131	41.2%54 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Under	50c	44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	444	52.7%234 W · 210 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	59c	43.71$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	646	47.5%307 W · 339 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	51c	43.04$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.09	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a3…29e5backed Under	71c	42.16$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.37	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Over	49c	42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	53c	39.43$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.51	134	57.5%77 W · 57 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over	40c	39.38$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	528	43.6%230 W · 298 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under	51c	38.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.05	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…da96backed Under	59c	38.65$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under	50c	37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	97	25.8%25 W · 72 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over	48c	31.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	+10.0wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under	40c	31.34$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.65	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+120.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d02…46e2backed Under	56c	28.69$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.62	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under	77c	27.24$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.19	334	45.5%152 W · 182 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under	77c	25.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.88	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	58c	25.18$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	716	55.3%396 W · 320 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd493…d21abacked Over	47c	21.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under	51c	20.2$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5this page
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsLouisville Cardinals won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 146.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 147.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 148.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 149.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 151.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 153.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 156.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 159.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 160.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 161.5Over won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 162.5Under won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 163.5Under won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 164.5Under won
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-10.5)South Florida Bulls won
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)Louisville Cardinals won
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)South Florida Bulls won
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-5.5)South Florida Bulls won
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)South Florida Bulls won
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)South Florida Bulls won
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-9.5)South Florida Bulls won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event