TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ee1…da96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$49
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$82.32
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.77
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+189.6%+$75.28
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+84%+$33.6
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$61.21
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.8%+$85.41
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmicbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.57
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$113.97
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Darwin Blanch vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$210
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-28.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.85
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.07
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 2 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.