TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes26c19,231$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No75c6,122$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.481234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes20c4,358$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.8110253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes0c4,027$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-91%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c3,341$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.612,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c2,991$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.0295332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes25c2,989$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No74c2,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c1,791$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.774,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No78c1,390$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0857847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes25c1,352$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No80c1,282$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.487044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No74c1,104$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0427752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No80c1,060$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8754132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No79c1,005$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.677129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c965.37$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c577.31$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.180853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c493.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c451.2$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3155351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked No75c440$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes28c361.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c357.44$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes26c357$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.821421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No79c355.74$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.813253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No74c340$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes12c285.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.437050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…da96backed Yes5c273.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes25c268.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0169742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes26c263$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3816232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes25c213.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.387427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5211850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Yes25c195.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.93825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505149%25 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes26c192$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes14c188.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0438233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed Yes11c174.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd89a…49a4backed Yes10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No75c163.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9314463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No80c151.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8522645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No74c150.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.254463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe89…e3c0backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes25c131.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.561450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c127.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6557150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes14c107.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes12c105.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1272658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d6d…a150backed Yes26c102.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775b…d38abacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick19cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c99.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9920958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c94.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6669651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No75c86.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes26c84.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes24c80.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+78.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8da0…5fe0backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Yes25c78.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No74c77.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1422049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes24c76.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3716233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c71.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.822746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.932951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes23c61.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0827051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes28c60.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1512045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c57.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0353240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3283…23a3backed No76c54.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c54.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157524%18 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5990…2183backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed No75c43.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ca…f810backed Yes26c39.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23636.1%13 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No75c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58258.5%48 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No74c33.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6521250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked No74c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No76c29.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.977759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.292445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No75c26.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.624360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No74c24.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.55761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.214162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.