TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x50b0…ccc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst F1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11243.8%49 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+380.8%+$3,807.69
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.73
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$556.45
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$568.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$118.07
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$33.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$101.05
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+181%+$226.31
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,382.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$188.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,366.33
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.99
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$683.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+491.5%+$491.49
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.86
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 4 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.