TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Under5c23,679$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.9511650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under33c12,459$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.9390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Under35c9,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.9751160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Under38c7,446$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.1136433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Under13c7,400$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.168436.9%31 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d8…79fabacked Over67c5,046$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under4c5,025$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9418340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8151…beebbacked Under34c5,010$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.381533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Over61c4,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5502065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab0…3b33backed Under3c4,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Under35c3,296$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.992740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91d…1fcabacked Over68c2,833$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Over66c2,500$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84575738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a6…8632backed Over64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Under7c2,487$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.197839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Under36c2,420$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.7825244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Under8c2,410$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Under37c2,374$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.3412132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed Under35c2,300$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b4…ce67backed Over66c2,274$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Over66c2,258$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.5224858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked Under39c2,244$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.359439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over67c2,111$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.193759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Over64c2,047$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.923237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf139…1d3bbacked Over65c2,000$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked Under36c2,000$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0514840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Under26c1,957$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8613525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Over66c1,819$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.183935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…d310backed Over66c1,666$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.931947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae0…1521backed Under34c1,609$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f9…4723backed Over64c1,565$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.592665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Over65c1,540$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Under35c1,427$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.586540%26 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Under35c1,413$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43fc…07bebacked Under8c1,368$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6184…92d9backed Over65c1,366$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42043539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Over66c1,177$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.271656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Over69c1,145$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.666462.5%40 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Under36c1,106$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.873863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x753b…3d0fbacked Over66c1,020$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Over65c1,010$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da1…f3c5backed Under7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3806…f4c4backed Under5c999.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451276.3%8 W · 119 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ed…b9e3backed Under31c999.96$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.996045%27 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…d292backed Under36c916$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.445446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7036…3228backed Over65c865.98$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.092458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded4…07d7backed Under6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb858…65c9backed Under6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+407.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa87b…3063backed Under36c832.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.81675%12 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+61.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7367…94c1backed Over67c815.66$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…a151backed Over61c805.53$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.162646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5b…79a2backed Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Over64c674.55$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.8434837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Over62c645.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.12548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Under37c633.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.576541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under5c579.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6312022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb3…8689backed Over79c555.1$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.66361.9%39 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Under7c540.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.831154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede0…9117backed Under8c539.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.19650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+222.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Under5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+126.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4595…0a93backed Under6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Under25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256732.8%22 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de7…2d9abacked Under27c499.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Under34c499.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.995442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc750…cfd3backed Over67c496.16$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Under23c493.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.351,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Under36c476.94$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.721939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Under36c475.82$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.312451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7259…e70fbacked Over64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.753933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5af5…1a06backed Over66c456.66$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.67875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+97.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf640…1844backed Under6c448.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.47944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under6c436.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.197030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7094…5e9fbacked Over66c433.5$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Under37c421.45$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9412661.9%78 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb22…ce57backed Over65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Over69c400$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Over66c395.59$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d4…3f96backed Under35c373.51$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.735244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde78…fde2backed Under6c373.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.39258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Over65c369.12$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0216347.2%77 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc374…ecf5backed Under36c357.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-78%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under13c339$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7789810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8b…d162backed Under6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5800…9e3abacked Under36c333.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4626645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.520759.4%123 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under36c312.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Over65c305.09$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7825446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…d7d9backed Over65c302.05$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+189.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62cc…9d0fbacked Under5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156338.1%24 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91bc…a124backed Over64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.775356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Over63c299.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1114641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…f0cfbacked Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005650%28 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…c01fbacked Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f19…3f59backed Under50c270.84$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.