TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e01…2c8abacked Under80c28,000$22,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,737.4814840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Over65c23,114$15,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,075.6636433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Over16c17,052$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.3519041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under28c12,325$3,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,873.7921137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Over37c10,870$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,974.741822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Over14c6,872$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.5866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de0…9483backed Under77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under29c5,862$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.0776953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Under42c5,605$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.461573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+58%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Over6c5,372$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.7217410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Over67c4,659$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.0581143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Under77c4,163$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.950569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Over67c4,000$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.9817561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ae…84cebacked Over66c4,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.972842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over67c3,972$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.61,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed Over23c3,723$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.855040%20 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Over71c3,396$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.6767552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Under34c3,118$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.6419150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under51c2,828$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.318340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over44c2,823$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.94422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over62c2,604$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.621,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Over69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Over35c1,975$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.161,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Under33c1,948$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.591154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1492…a2c9backed Under32c1,857$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.621650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed Over41c1,800$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7386165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Over67c1,743$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.522544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Over70c1,732$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.328436.9%31 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb62a…dffcbacked Under30c1,718$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.911947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Under32c1,672$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.887330.1%22 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over43c1,623$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69556650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over3c1,515$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4712022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Over72c1,503$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.194365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d08…b0e7backed Over12c1,501$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.08812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+174%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Over69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03582352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Under77c1,447$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.222951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x386e…3857backed Over1c1,350$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over2c1,339$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2612757.5%73 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…a5acbacked Over19c1,200$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over2c1,195$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.827030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Over42c1,180$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Over31c1,152$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0113525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e7…1283backed Over5c1,121$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c1…51aabacked Over27c1,099$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Under37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63021249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae2…7119backed Under30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba30…c9e2backed Under29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…17eebacked Under37c945.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…adbcbacked Over31c809.83$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.54050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Under69c803.69$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.133863.2%24 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2595…0412backed Over38c788.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Over7c709.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915050%75 W · 75 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5751…ecf7backed Under77c657.42$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3067…b8e5backed Under52c647.83$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+97.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Over7c611.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.469637.5%36 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc25a…f814backed Over49c606.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Under44c600$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.017154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ad…cb3cbacked Under30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…a33fbacked Under34c590.79$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.922634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed Under31c587.42$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.32728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabe…94adbacked Over23c579$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.638328.9%24 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274e…72f6backed Under39c577.59$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.59540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Over14c553.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022147.1%104 W · 117 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32fa…d243backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Over5c498.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.931936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ce…2e71backed Under49c488.46$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Under33c486.64$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.052740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Over41c483.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Over69c470$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.31,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under58c431.85$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5813243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Under45c412.57$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8626754.7%146 W · 121 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…d541backed Over14c404.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.136740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc42…856abacked Under77c400$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0017…286abacked Under32c392.74$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.741450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Over20c369.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.475633.9%19 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d0cfbacked Over42c368.37$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e8fdbacked Under72c361.63$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.551070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over37c357.49$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1752538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Over69c345.71$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.25248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ede…f119backed Under29c332.35$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.061741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b7…a3c4backed Under31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+77.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdeb8…ac19backed Under32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…4f40backed Under32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…d310backed Under36c312.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba6…01c8backed Under32c309.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.771471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+46.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd30…4163backed Under75c306.43$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76e…4d5dbacked Under74c297.05$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.051471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+82.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x79b3…23d1backed Over37c266.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e3…37bdbacked Under31c257.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+197.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Under39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6247…9a13backed Over24c255.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a2…9452backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x172e…36e4backed Under40c247.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.561070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Under41c244.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3411762.4%73 W · 44 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Over25c239.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.863935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Over40c231.61$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.051428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Over23c230.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fe2…4dd8backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+83.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.