TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5e7…d0cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9254.3%50 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$198.19
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$398
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$57.56
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: England (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$120.7
Spread: England (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+89%+$260.36
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$138.24
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$110.94
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+62%+$122.76
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$175.58
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$167.92
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$82.89
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$47.26
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$395.79
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$518
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$81.87
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150.2%+$128.88
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$276.09
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$291.13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+131.4%+$480.82
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.