TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,492,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,573,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,492,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,081 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x095f…90b2backed Over50c10,298,704$5,144,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144,383.371968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c2,498,951$1,245,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253,418.3777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Under53c2,171,790$1,146,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025,710.323360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under50c1,991,910$991,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000,716.6551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under49c1,181,907$581,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600,453.674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Under52c961,539$500,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,538.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over51c915,073$464,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464,399.5611642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Under52c549,998$285,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263,999.1815552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under52c511,110$267,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244,055.0333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under52c434,745$226,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208,687.643354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over48c411,110$197,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,221.4942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Under49c397,500$196,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,356.316048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Under53c348,257$185,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,551.464753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c229,528$112,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,660.732,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x169d…a85ebacked Under53c227,591$120,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,267.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Over44c220,517$96,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,870.0926320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over47c196,572$92,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,388.7464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under49c193,400$95,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,150.515456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c174,473$89,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,460.1910836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Over45c164,387$73,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,418.448521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c160,606$82,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,834.531,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over45c160,382$72,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,386.6917447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under49c156,749$77,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,499.4910555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3f…8517backed Under50c154,714$77,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,357.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over48c150,000$72,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,00014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under49c150,000$73,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,12511647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over51c150,000$75,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,749.9517840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c106,813$54,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,885.063943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c101,223$47,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,530.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Under55c100,468$55,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,389.014667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under49c100,000$49,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,749.9922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under54c100,000$53,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,249.9617949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over51c98,278$49,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,876.213458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c97,887$49,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,964.722,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under51c94,637$48,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,978.4532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Over43c91,835$39,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,781.543941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over48c91,731$44,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,030.8710556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over47c85,644$40,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,056.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over51c80,510$41,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,055.514870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under49c70,092$34,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,571.914349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Under45c68,291$30,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,868.328246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over48c61,200$29,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,37613543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c60,039$30,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,043.7436031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under50c59,888$30,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,734.2526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under61c58,059$35,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,484.9744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed Over48c57,108$27,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,269.252123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64c2…0ad9backed Over48c56,501$27,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,120.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Over46c55,328$25,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,689.998349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Over68c55,033$37,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,2003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Under49c50,000$24,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,3759451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed Over48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0002560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over20c50,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9910740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Over48c46,000$21,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,961.0110653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over47c43,976$20,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,448.849345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over41c43,313$17,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,811.246728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Over46c41,258$19,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,0822334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Over48c40,061$19,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,314.634436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under52c40,000$20,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,099.7817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under64c38,601$24,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,028.7237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under52c38,000$19,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,152.53754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over47c37,190$17,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,317.2912536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under50c36,998$18,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,623.2942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Over46c36,490$16,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,676.6313448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Under52c36,335$19,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,324.4117452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over1c35,502$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.3519218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c35,400$17,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,965.55653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f6…aba9backed Over59c35,000$20,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,639.22626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over47c32,956$15,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,543.4726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over43c32,369$13,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,798.4424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under49c32,092$15,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,275.688856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under53c32,000$16,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,035.4814250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Over47c30,681$14,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,419.917448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Over48c30,475$14,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,628.23525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Over47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,1002536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under32c29,411$9,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,999.488057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under51c27,831$14,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,657.714348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under50c27,635$13,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,924.2614055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c27,401$13,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,857.8710555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over55c27,094$14,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,778.997416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over37c26,774$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c26,624$13,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,305.21,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under67c26,111$17,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,533.6439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c25,905$13,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,222.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c25,257$13,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,072.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Over49c25,000$12,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,1251225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c24,652$12,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,392.016947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Over45c24,322$10,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,870.957045.7%32 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under50c24,000$11,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0606055%33 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under50c23,486$11,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,799.9412255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Over51c23,135$11,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,798.86473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under49c22,790$11,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,565.857451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over45c22,360$10,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.876758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf94c…59dcbacked Over47c22,231$10,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,448.791435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under50c22,134$10,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,177.887757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88e2…7489backed Under53c22,000$11,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,285250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under38c21,078$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,147.4143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over41c20,847$8,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,646.6737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under52c20,769$10,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,966.0715149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2039…2e5fbacked Over36c20,667$7,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,509.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.