TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,552 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87b5…3a6abacked Under19c307.22$58 inLost-$58.371717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5de…c4a9backed Over80c251.1$200 inWon+$51.19156%51 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under19c224.42$43 inLost-$42.772,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ab…110ebacked Under24c107.04$26 inLost-$25.693212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under21c100$21 inLost-$2123741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Under20c100$20 inLost-$208439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under19c100$19 inLost-$1929813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac12…293abacked Under18c84.11$15 inLost-$15.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under20c83$17 inLost-$16.783,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Under29c67.86$20 inLost-$19.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under20c55.61$11 inLost-$11.122,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under20c53$11 inLost-$10.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Over79c30$24 inWon+$6.339043.6%170 W · 220 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over75c20$15 inWon+$534964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.