TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under59c5,190$3,061 inLost-$3,060.6758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over41c4,444$1,822 inWon+$2,621.9632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c432.67$168 inWon+$265.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Under64c313.08$200 inLost-$20028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd59c…bb63backed Over60c300$180 inWon+$1201752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over41c238.54$98 inWon+$140.7423554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under68c135.91$92 inLost-$92.422,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c126.58$57 inLost-$57.472,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over32c78.13$25 inWon+$53.131,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over37c69.05$25 inWon+$43.661,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206c…d936backed Over31c60$18 inWon+$41.53831.6%12 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Over36c58$21 inWon+$36.867735.1%27 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under64c57.46$37 inLost-$36.6741444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over32c53.13$17 inWon+$36.1331747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under69c50$35 inLost-$34.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf6…eca4backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon+$28.786619.7%13 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf599…e460backed Over41c47.85$20 inWon+$28.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over59c46.07$27 inWon+$18.8945536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed Over39c44$17 inWon+$26.845540%22 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcb…2941backed Over60c32.35$19 inWon+$12.949753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4e…5c75backed Over44c24.55$11 inWon+$13.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.