Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a11b4f4502f280d5f95b1b12a05e5d3c93ca9d473bcfe6c80051000bccf0312

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Franceof Morocco, France
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $474,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $455,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,350 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Morocco	4c	47,427$1,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,883.05	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Morocco	4c	34,252$1,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,316.22	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Morocco	4c	28,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.9	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Morocco	3c	21,116$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.63	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Morocco	4c	21,002$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.84	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50a…efaabacked Morocco	4c	18,316$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Morocco	2c	16,430$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.07	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Morocco	4c	10,362$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.01	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd577…048cbacked Morocco	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Morocco	4c	8,612$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.58	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x552b…f8bcbacked Morocco	2c	7,763$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.37	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+119.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Morocco	4c	7,481$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.58	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Morocco	4c	7,150$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.33	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Morocco	4c	6,072$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f5…82b5backed Morocco	4c	5,225$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Morocco	3c	5,133$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Morocco	4c	5,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Morocco	2c	4,700$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.1	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Morocco	4c	4,666$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.67	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Morocco	4c	4,150$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.15	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Morocco	4c	3,804$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.89	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Morocco	4c	3,396$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.19	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Morocco	4c	3,350$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.97	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc2…1e51backed Morocco	4c	3,287$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.39	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Morocco	1c	2,998$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.16	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Morocco	4c	2,395$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.59	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Morocco	4c	1,950$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Morocco	4c	1,500$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	109	34.9%38 W · 71 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Morocco	4c	1,498$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.56	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Morocco	4c	1,490$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.92	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed Morocco	4c	1,446$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	75	9.3%7 W · 68 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb41b…36bebacked Morocco	4c	1,261$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.42	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c0…b40bbacked Morocco	4c	1,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Morocco	4c	1,226$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe174…8bb7backed Morocco	4c	1,154$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.32	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Morocco	4c	1,111$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.22	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec39…6a5dbacked Morocco	4c	1,105$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.43	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+145.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Morocco	4c	1,060$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.28	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Morocco	4c	1,055$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Morocco	4c	1,030$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.16	164	18.9%31 W · 133 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd069…f387backed Morocco	3c	970.68$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e0…17abbacked Morocco	4c	836.15$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x513a…4ae3backed Morocco	4c	782.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Morocco	4c	740.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Morocco	4c	707.22$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	652	53.8%351 W · 301 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6f…f7e1backed Morocco	4c	670.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b9…3818backed Morocco	4c	657.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Morocco	4c	555$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Morocco	4c	526.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9da…3ef5backed Morocco	4c	512.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Morocco	4c	509.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Morocco	3c	502.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Morocco	4c	500$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6440…aeddbacked Morocco	4c	499.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+65%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Morocco	4c	487.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f0…9b89backed Morocco	4c	487.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Morocco	4c	421.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	199	35.2%70 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed Morocco	4c	384.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x529c…210ebacked Morocco	4c	381.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Morocco	4c	358.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Morocco	4c	335$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.79	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Morocco	4c	314.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Morocco	5c	312$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb537…956dbacked Morocco	4c	311.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c02…c6d2backed Morocco	4c	250.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Morocco	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)this page
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-3.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-4.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-5.5)Morocco won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-5.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event