TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,185 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under19c919$172 inLost-$171.862,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over75c490.17$368 inWon+$122.549862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under24c335.38$80 inLost-$80.4958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c258.64$194 inWon+$64.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over75c201.17$150 inWon+$51.029168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under32c135.08$43 inLost-$42.862,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…65ccbacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.589949.5%49 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over70c97.2$68 inWon+$29.2575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under29c90$27 inLost-$26.541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under32c48.44$16 inLost-$15.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf14b…2b93backed Over68c48.44$33 inWon+$15.53161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2c…88c6backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon+$14.7818562.2%115 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4143…3783backed Over69c36$25 inWon+$11.1615746.5%73 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184b…21f3backed Over68c29.54$20 inWon+$9.542871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over69c28.78$20 inWon+$8.7839648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over68c23.04$16 inWon+$7.3723741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938c…8df4backed Over68c20.59$14 inWon+$6.596861.8%42 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.