Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c0f5229e5749ae86bb23e5107e20d36262144fe4b8511c1533acf88fde8a07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 14,932$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 30c | 5,417$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.5 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 26c | 4,225$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.51 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 3,532$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 72c | 3,072$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.21 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 28c | 2,862$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.36 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 73c | 2,501$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.83 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 2,488$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.82 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 29c | 1,902$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.32 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 70c | 1,420$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…2c30backed Over | 29c | 1,391$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 28c | 800.11$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…1219backed Over | 28c | 689.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Under | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 74c | 407.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…2448backed Under | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 28c | 373$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…70aebacked Over | 28c | 363.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fa…7190backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Under | 71c | 278.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 9c | 272.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Over | 30c | 260.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 28c | 225.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Over | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Over | 28c | 204.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 29c | 155$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Over | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked Under | 70c | 125.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 26c | 123.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 108.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 70c | 89.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 73c | 76.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 652 | 53.8%351 W · 301 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 28c | 67.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91cb…105cbacked Over | 28c | 56.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…5067backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb48…9c83backed Over | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 72c | 37.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 74c | 35.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36d…0ae6backed Over | 29c | 34.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 72c | 22.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 59c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Morocco: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance won
- France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Morocco won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Morocco won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)France won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.