TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$500,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$491,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c80,607$41,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,615.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under43c53,000$22,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,209.9210056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Under42c50,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,999.782466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over58c44,444$25,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,777.5242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Over57c40,000$22,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,799.8926447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c25,509$10,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,025.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under42c21,854$9,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,675.287345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c16,555$6,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,807.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Over56c11,403$6,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,440.4230214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under43c10,300$4,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,870.954746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under64c10,135$6,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.171,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Under43c9,000$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1303762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under43c7,738$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.7440655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under42c7,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,039.9838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c6,967$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.713,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c5,890$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over53c5,830$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over61c5,371$3,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,252.9317747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac1b…2068backed Over57c5,200$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9641866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under43c5,189$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.731,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c4,931$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.82,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under42c4,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.9131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under43c4,256$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.8897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over37c4,122$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.3241331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Under43c3,740$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.173938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c3,508$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.092,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under43c3,492$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.887533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under44c3,409$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.0925336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Under60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.333154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over56c3,333$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.4619037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under40c3,232$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.882,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over27c3,100$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.9913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b5…67b4backed Over57c3,081$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.712152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over22c2,736$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.6550850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over57c2,708$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.395959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under55c2,706$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.439752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under76c2,640$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.5732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76ad…268abacked Over9c2,593$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3015…ac14backed Over58c2,539$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.461030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c2,500$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under42c2,462$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.255740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under44c2,333$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.481,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Under43c2,200$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.994639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Under46c2,188$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.568028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over27c2,093$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.1582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over58c2,080$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21018158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44da…c794backed Under42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1601747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under43c2,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1501,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over34c1,956$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over57c1,744$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9945251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Under64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.58140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under44c1,382$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.8928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c1,302$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.223,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed Under70c1,287$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.013366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Over14c1,256$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under43c1,255$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.873,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under43c1,220$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.98243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under51c1,135$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.174751.1%24 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over57c1,105$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.391,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over31c1,099$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.231,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over6c1,060$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.827237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under70c1,049$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over30c1,014$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d6…d1e7backed Under42c1,002$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.772540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6072…a182backed Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804158.5%24 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under43c1,000$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57532042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under62c991.61$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.152,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21dd…24a8backed Over18c944.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c5…2e6bbacked Over30c925.9$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.773844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over57c881.77$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.81,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over55c833.99$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.722441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Under73c819.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4921052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Over58c706.59$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8219660.7%119 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe14…c27dbacked Under43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.672777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b0d…0f3ebacked Over58c672.41$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Under43c662.79$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7915923.3%37 W · 122 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under70c639.83$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.112,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad1c…6016backed Over57c617.54$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525766.7%38 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under53c566.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1319436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4338…f2b3backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Over58c551.07$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.629337.6%35 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over4c546.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over33c539.15$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.451,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb03b…a5dfbacked Under44c523$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.887342.5%31 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Over39c509.64$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.123026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Under47c505$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.654240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Under64c505$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.812052.5%63 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Over58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28517052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Under65c458.46$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.462268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbc…96a6backed Under77c452.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.534744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.