TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,813 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over11c7,935$872 inLost-$871.895330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over11c7,752$828 inLost-$827.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over11c5,000$550 inLost-$55019037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked Over12c3,293$388 inLost-$387.853030%9 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over10c2,100$210 inLost-$21046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over11c1,368$146 inLost-$146.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over10c1,360$136 inLost-$1362,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over10c1,144$116 inLost-$116.45020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b1…f07abacked Over12c1,115$130 inLost-$13030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Over1c1,100$14 inLost-$1418118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over4c1,014$39 inLost-$39.3527227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over9c1,000$90 inLost-$9017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over10c959$96 inLost-$95.92,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b4…4c0dbacked Over11c909.09$100 inLost-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over10c885.6$89 inLost-$88.5613736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1e…a70ebacked Over11c790.91$87 inLost-$8730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976f…ca10backed Over10c500$50 inLost-$50175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-83.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over3c427.58$13 inLost-$12.8366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over8c400.78$32 inLost-$32.061,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over10c390$39 inLost-$3997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over10c382.99$39 inLost-$39.4729813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over11c266.73$29 inLost-$29.3422919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over8c220.76$17 inLost-$17.317747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over9c175.44$16 inLost-$15.971,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fda…b819backed Over11c163.64$18 inLost-$183537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over10c150$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over10c150$15 inLost-$155213.5%7 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc2d…0962backed Over11c136.36$15 inLost-$152015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe506…1bccbacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$103641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f4…0464backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.