TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moroccoof France, Morocco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,028,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$997,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,028,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed France15c47,569$7,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,276.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked France14c25,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked France14c20,206$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.423748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed France15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France11c19,399$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.921,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked France9c16,800$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.487447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France19c16,514$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.152,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed France13c15,906$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.5711642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed France15c15,254$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.961,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed France15c15,012$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21220816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed France14c15,000$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.512810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d79…1c29backed France14c12,998$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.74656.5%26 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France15c12,226$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed France14c12,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6802853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked France42c11,962$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked France38c11,844$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,532.31,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Morocco73c10,298$7,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.043,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked France23c10,134$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.8737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed France35c9,420$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.991450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed France14c8,937$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.5414045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked France15c7,745$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.024841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed France9c7,392$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.81625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79f6…8f75backed France14c7,000$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-74.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France15c5,672$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.752,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Morocco59c5,496$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.141,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed France17c4,777$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8710251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed France14c4,478$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.652128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked France7c4,310$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c1…d6cdbacked France0c4,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019432.5%63 W · 131 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed France5c3,810$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France27c3,614$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.853629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France13c3,224$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France16c3,032$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Morocco60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007552%39 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked France15c3,000$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.516139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked France11c3,000$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7517919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed France14c2,980$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.1723036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed France14c2,947$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40719250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked France14c2,694$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.629324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x552b…f8bcbacked France10c2,565$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503016.7%5 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed France13c2,519$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked France40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008530.6%26 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked France14c2,500$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.512227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed France14c2,364$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6572722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed France43c2,283$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.363545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed France14c2,200$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed France4c2,200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France16c2,198$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.682,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed France15c2,197$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.081,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed France14c2,135$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed France42c2,111$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.425518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked France39c2,048$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Morocco70c2,019$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.7726459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x738a…b44cbacked France15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed France14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed France12c1,999$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3411531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France14c1,918$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.871,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France21c1,904$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.832,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed France14c1,855$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.068243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed France14c1,800$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked Morocco67c1,715$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.124949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed France17c1,645$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4942126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94c…59dcbacked Morocco61c1,645$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed France15c1,619$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked France42c1,394$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5907341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked France6c1,375$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Morocco59c1,272$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7512853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Morocco70c1,206$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.497865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed France41c1,205$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf85…71e4backed France14c1,198$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.641330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked France13c1,189$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7814430.6%44 W · 100 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1abb…828cbacked France13c1,168$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501030%3 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+106.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Morocco74c1,162$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.612,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked France9c1,142$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…be52backed France32c1,139$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3593040%12 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+188.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9830…127cbacked France21c1,109$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed France14c1,069$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked France4c1,057$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e0…6ec6backed France20c1,005$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France15c1,003$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.536123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked France1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed France15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked France15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked France14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked France25c1,000$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.517845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked France14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France15c999.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Morocco66c999.36$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.11,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked France40c993.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked France40c979.23$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.6920646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Morocco71c976.92$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6827227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed France23c863.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed France15c859.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9620626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked France14c858.83$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked France31c848.51$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9325643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6c…154abacked France13c829.63$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed France15c804.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Morocco75c800.62$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.622965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed France14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213641.9%57 W · 79 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed France29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23219750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.