Spread: France (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec51cee5f723bd6f6725c7a579acab14d293ee19a224852d78978a18db19bd6

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Moroccoof France, Morocco
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $252,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $245,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,131 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x325f…4511backed France	6c	32,862$2,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,071.78	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France	7c	25,610$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,823.93	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed France	10c	13,490$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.73	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed France	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France	4c	8,188$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked France	5c	8,087$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.33	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed France	5c	6,182$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.88	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France	5c	5,239$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.81	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed France	5c	4,706$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed France	5c	3,815$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.67	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed France	5c	3,705$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.15	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed France	11c	3,556$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+94%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France	5c	3,196$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.4	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked France	5c	3,116$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.01	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed France	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed France	5c	1,755$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.75	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked France	5c	1,573$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.92	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed France	11c	1,559$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.42	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8049…4a42backed France	7c	1,507$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.51	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked France	2c	1,372$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.56	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed France	5c	1,133$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.67	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed France	5c	1,002$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.87	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked France	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed France	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked France	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed France	5c	999.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-39%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked France	5c	994.8$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.01	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed France	7c	941.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.23	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…bbcbbacked France	5c	932.73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed France	6c	916.67$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed France	11c	837.21$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	137	36.5%50 W · 87 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked France	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed France	11c	799.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…4e7abacked France	5c	736.84$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+5.0wins	+0.24per pick	29cpaid	+114.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked France	10c	500$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked France	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked France	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked France	9c	470.79$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.23	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked France	5c	467.03$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.03	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed France	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf83…da82backed France	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	102	41.2%42 W · 60 L	+12.7wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed France	6c	400$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked France	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked France	5c	400$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	152	25.7%39 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed France	5c	360$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4029…05d3backed France	6c	360$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-8.1wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed France	5c	320$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x083b…f54abacked France	11c	311.11$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed France	5c	300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	106	14.2%15 W · 91 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed France	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed France	5c	300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed France	6c	260.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	155	22.6%35 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked France	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d4e…4accbacked France	6c	233.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-9.3wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb652…64fbbacked France	5c	231.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	76	11.8%9 W · 67 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed France	5c	216$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb8…135cbacked France	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed France	9c	195.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.08	253	28.1%71 W · 182 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3329…2f5cbacked France	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed France	11c	173.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked France	10c	163.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed France	12c	129.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…5ae1backed France	13c	113.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cd…cc94backed France	11c	102.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: France (-3.5)this page
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-4.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-5.5)Morocco won
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-5.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: France (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event